# S&P 500 price predictions: who said what, and what came true

Updated Sep 29, 2026 · Web page: https://predictionverifier.com/assets/sp500/

As of September 29, 2026, we track 13 S&P 500 price predictions from three public figures. Eight came true, two did not and three are open. Open targets for 2026 range from 8,000 to 8,250.

The S&P 500 is a stock market index of 500 large US companies, maintained by S&P Dow Jones Indices. Levels are in index points, using the official close on each NYSE trading day.

Hit 8 · Missed 2 · Open 3

## Predictions by deadline year

### Deadlines in 2026

[2026 price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/years/2026/)

Two S&P 500 price predictions have deadlines in 2026. Two are open. Open targets range from 8,000 to 8,250.

| Person | Said | Price when said | Target | Change to target | Deadline | Outcome | Card | Quote |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| [Tom Lee](https://predictionverifier.com/people/tom-lee/) | Jun 24, 2026 | 7,365 | 8,000 | +8.6% | Dec 31, 2026 | Open | [#266cb](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-sp500-8000-by-2026/) · [Source](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/25/fundstrats-lee-joins-wall-street-bulls-in-calling-for-sp-at-8000.html) | “We are giving a mid-year update and raising our year-end target for S & P 500 to 8,000 from 7,700.” |
| [Ed Yardeni](https://predictionverifier.com/people/ed-yardeni/) | Jun 1, 2026 | 7,580 | 8,250 | +8.8% | Dec 31, 2026 | Open | [#3571d](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-8250-by-2026/) · [Source](https://dailyhodl.com/2026/06/01/ed-yardeni-abruptly-lifts-sp-500-year-end-target-driven-by-major-earnings-momentum-heres-his-outlook) | “In a new CNBC interview, veteran strategist Ed Yardeni says he is raising his year-end target for the stock market index to 8,250.” |

### Deadlines in 2029

One S&P 500 price prediction has a deadline in 2029. It is open, with a target of 10,000.

| Person | Said | Price when said | Target | Change to target | Deadline | Outcome | Card | Quote |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| [Ed Yardeni](https://predictionverifier.com/people/ed-yardeni/) | May 10, 2026 | 7,399 | 10,000 | +35% | Dec 31, 2029 | Open | [#38eac](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-10k-by-2029/) · [Source](https://fortune.com/2026/05/10/stock-market-outlook-yardeni-sp500-price-target-hike-8250-earnings-roaring-2020s/) | “Nevertheless, for now, we are sticking with our 10,000 target for the S&P 500 by the end of 2029” |

### Deadlines in 2025

[2025 price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/years/2025/)

Two S&P 500 price predictions have deadlines in 2025. One came true and one did not.

| Person | Said | Price when said | Target | Change to target | Deadline | Outcome | Card | Quote |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| [Ed Yardeni](https://predictionverifier.com/people/ed-yardeni/) | May 13, 2025 | 5,844 | 6,500 | +11% | Dec 31, 2025 | Hit · Deadline close 6,846 on Dec 31, 2025 | [#30b4c](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-6500-by-2025/) · [Source](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/13/ed-yardeni-cuts-recession-odds-and-raises-sp-500-target-back-up-to-6500-on-trumps-tariff-rollback.html) | “The president of Yardeni Research raised his year-end target for the S & P 500 back up to 6,500 from 6,000.” |
| [Ed Yardeni](https://predictionverifier.com/people/ed-yardeni/) | Nov 10, 2025 | 6,729 | 7,000 | +4% | Dec 31, 2025 | Missed · Best close 6,932 on Dec 24, 2025 | [#f0d42](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-7000-by-2025/) · [Source](https://dailyhodl.com/2025/11/10/yardeni-research-president-forecasts-imminent-santa-clause-rally-details-sp-500-target/) | “Yardeni argues that corporate earnings have been prolific enough to keep the market afloat, and he predicts that the S&P 500 is about to rally once again, crossing 7,000 by the end of the year.” |

### Deadlines in 2024

[2024 price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/years/2024/)

One S&P 500 price prediction has a deadline in 2024. It came true.

| Person | Said | Price when said | Target | Change to target | Deadline | Outcome | Card | Quote |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| [Ed Yardeni](https://predictionverifier.com/people/ed-yardeni/) | Jul 10, 2024 | 5,577 | 5,800 | +4% | Dec 31, 2024 | Hit · Deadline close 5,882 on Dec 31, 2024 | [#ee7fe](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-5800-by-2024/) · [Source](https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/11/ed-yardeni-says-roaring-2020s-happening-faster-than-he-expected.html) | “Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research late Wednesday hiked his year-end target for the S & P 500 to 5,800 from 5,400.” |

### Deadlines in 2023

[2023 price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/years/2023/)

Two S&P 500 price predictions have deadlines in 2023. One came true and one did not.

| Person | Said | Price when said | Target | Change to target | Deadline | Outcome | Card | Quote |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| [Mike Wilson](https://predictionverifier.com/people/mike-wilson/) | Oct 16, 2023 | 4,328 | 3,900 | −9.9% | Dec 31, 2023 | Missed · Lowest close 4,117 on Oct 27, 2023 | [#e247b](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/mike-wilson-sp500-3900-by-2023/) · [Source](https://www.cnbc.com/2023/10/16/morgan-stanley-says-the-average-stock-is-breaking-down-sp-500-to-fall-to-3900-by-year-end-.html) | “Wilson now forecasts the S & P 500 to fall to 3,900 by the end of 2023.” |
| [Ed Yardeni](https://predictionverifier.com/people/ed-yardeni/) | Mar 29, 2023 | 3,971 | 4,600 | +16% | Dec 31, 2023 | Hit · Deadline close 4,770 on Dec 29, 2023 | [#9bb7e](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-4600-by-2023/) · [Source](https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/29/ed-yardeni-says-the-sp-500-can-rally-by-double-digits-to-end-the-year-at-4600.html) | “The president of Yardeni Research set his S & P 500 year-end target at 4,600, which would translate into a roughly 20% gain for the year and a 14% rally from Wednesday's close of 4,027.81.” |

### Deadlines in 2021

One S&P 500 price prediction has a deadline in 2021. It came true.

| Person | Said | Price when said | Target | Change to target | Deadline | Outcome | Card | Quote |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| [Ed Yardeni](https://predictionverifier.com/people/ed-yardeni/) | Aug 12, 2020 | 3,334 | 3,800 | +14% | Dec 31, 2021 | Hit · Deadline close 4,766 on Dec 31, 2021 | [#232a8](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-3800-by-2021/) · [Source](https://www.cnbc.com/2020/08/12/ed-yardeni-raises-his-sp-500-forecast-for-2020-and-next-year.html) | “He also put the 2021 target at 3,800, an implied increase of 8.6% from the designated 2020 number.” |

### Deadlines in 2020

One S&P 500 price prediction has a deadline in 2020. It came true.

| Person | Said | Price when said | Target | Change to target | Deadline | Outcome | Card | Quote |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| [Ed Yardeni](https://predictionverifier.com/people/ed-yardeni/) | Aug 12, 2020 | 3,334 | 3,500 | +5% | Dec 31, 2020 | Hit · First close at target 3,508 on Aug 28, 2020 | [#50bf2](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-3500-by-2020/) · [Source](https://www.cnbc.com/2020/08/12/ed-yardeni-raises-his-sp-500-forecast-for-2020-and-next-year.html) | “The head of Yardeni Research said he now sees the S & P 500 heading to 3,500 by the end of 2020, a sizeable jump from his previous estimate of 2,900 and a 5% increase from Tuesday's close.” |

### Deadlines in 2019

Three S&P 500 price predictions have deadlines in 2019. Three came true.

| Person | Said | Price when said | Target | Change to target | Deadline | Outcome | Card | Quote |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| [Mike Wilson](https://predictionverifier.com/people/mike-wilson/) | Nov 26, 2018 | 2,633 | 2,750 | +4.5% | Dec 31, 2019 | Hit · Deadline close 3,231 on Dec 31, 2019 | [#c4f85](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/mike-wilson-sp500-2750-by-2019/) · [Source](https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/26/morgan-stanley-strategist-who-predicted-sell-off-sees-dismal-2019.html) | “Mike Wilson, chief equity strategist at Morgan Stanley, said in a note that he "sees more of the same" stagnant performance from the major indexes in 2019 and forecasts the S&P 500 finishes next year at 2,750, just 3 percent above current levels.” |
| [Tom Lee](https://predictionverifier.com/people/tom-lee/) | Jan 11, 2019 | 2,597 | 2,835 | +9.2% | Dec 31, 2019 | Hit · First close at target 2,855 on Mar 21, 2019 | [#b4a6b](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-sp500-2835-by-2019/) · [Source](https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/11/but-the-dip-because-the-sp-could-rally-17-percent-in-2019-tom-lee.html) | “In his latest investor note released Friday morning, Lee predicted the S&P 500 would hit 2,835 by the end of the year.” |
| [Tom Lee](https://predictionverifier.com/people/tom-lee/) | May 3, 2019 | 2,918 | 3,125 | +7.1% | Dec 31, 2019 | Hit · Deadline close 3,231 on Dec 31, 2019 | [#379a0](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-sp500-3125-by-2019/) · [Source](https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/03/tom-lee-predicts-sp-500-will-gain-additional-7percent-by-end-of-the-year.html) | “In a note to clients, the co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors raised his S&P 500 year-end target to 3,125 from 2,925, which represents a 7% gain from Thursday's 2,917 close.” |

[S&P 500 price predictions for 2019](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/sp500/2019/)