# Tom Lee's price predictions

Updated Sep 29, 2026 · Web page: https://predictionverifier.com/people/tom-lee/

As of September 29, 2026, we track 8 price predictions Tom Lee made between 2017 and 2026. Two came true, four did not and two are open. They were about Bitcoin and S&P 500. Most had deadlines at the end of a calendar year.

**Tom Lee** · Head of Research, Fundstrat Global Advisors; Chairman, Bitmine Immersion Technologies
Links: [X](https://x.com/fundstrat)

Tom Lee is head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, a market research firm he co-founded in 2014 after serving as chief equity strategist at J.P. Morgan. He is also chief investment officer of Fundstrat Capital and, since June 2025, chairman of Bitmine Immersion Technologies, a company that holds ether as a treasury asset.

Gives price targets for the S&P 500, bitcoin and ether, most often in television interviews and conference talks that news outlets then report. The deadlines are mostly the end of the current or the next calendar year, and most of the targets are for prices to rise.

Hit 2 · Missed 4 · Open 2

## Notable calls

The open, came-true and missed call with the largest move from the price when said. A selection, not a rating.

**Boldest open call**

- [Tom Lee: Bitcoin to $300,000 by Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-bitcoin-300k-by-2026/) · Open · $93,454 → $300,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #891a1
  “He added that BTC will mirror the performance of the S&P 500 US stock index next year and predicted a price high of $300,000.”

**Boldest call that came true**

- [Tom Lee: S&P 500 to 2,835 by Dec 31, 2019](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-sp500-2835-by-2019/) · Hit · 2,597 → 2,835 · Deadline Dec 31, 2019 · #b4a6b
  “In his latest investor note released Friday morning, Lee predicted the S&P 500 would hit 2,835 by the end of the year.”

**Boldest call that didn't come true**

- [Tom Lee: Bitcoin at or above $25,000 on Sep 14, 2022](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-bitcoin-25k-by-2022/) · Missed · $3,855 → $25,000 · Deadline Sep 14, 2022 · #c213a
  “"It's not worth it to look at bitcoin two months, two weeks ahead," Lee argued, saying he still believes each bitcoin will be worth $25,000 in five years or about 600 percent higher than current levels.”

## All predictions

- [Tom Lee: S&P 500 at or above 8,000 on Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-sp500-8000-by-2026/) · Open · 7,365 → 8,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #266cb
  “We are giving a mid-year update and raising our year-end target for S & P 500 to 8,000 from 7,700.”
- [Tom Lee: Bitcoin to $300,000 by Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-bitcoin-300k-by-2026/) · Open · $93,454 → $300,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #891a1
  “He added that BTC will mirror the performance of the S&P 500 US stock index next year and predicted a price high of $300,000.”
- [Tom Lee: Bitcoin to $200,000 by Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-bitcoin-200k-by-2025/) · Missed · $111,130 → $200,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #e8979
  “I think Bitcoin can easily get to $200,000 before the end of the year, and I know that's a big move.”
- [Tom Lee: Bitcoin to $150,000 by Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-bitcoin-150k-by-2025/) · Missed · $94,265 → $150,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #614af
  “Speaking on CNBC‘s Squawk Box on Monday, March 3, Lee noted that he expects Bitcoin to “do better than $150,000 this year,” citing widening acceptance.”
- [Tom Lee: S&P 500 at or above 3,125 on Dec 31, 2019](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-sp500-3125-by-2019/) · Hit · 2,918 → 3,125 · Deadline Dec 31, 2019 · #379a0
  “In a note to clients, the co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors raised his S&P 500 year-end target to 3,125 from 2,925, which represents a 7% gain from Thursday's 2,917 close.”
- [Tom Lee: S&P 500 to 2,835 by Dec 31, 2019](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-sp500-2835-by-2019/) · Hit · 2,597 → 2,835 · Deadline Dec 31, 2019 · #b4a6b
  “In his latest investor note released Friday morning, Lee predicted the S&P 500 would hit 2,835 by the end of the year.”
- [Tom Lee: Bitcoin at or above $25,000 on Dec 31, 2018](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-bitcoin-25k-by-2018/) · Missed · $10,567 → $25,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2018 · #7d394
  “On Wednesday, Lee maintained his midyear bitcoin price target of $20,000 — roughly double Wednesday's prices — and a year-end target of $25,000.”
- [Tom Lee: Bitcoin at or above $25,000 on Sep 14, 2022](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-bitcoin-25k-by-2022/) · Missed · $3,855 → $25,000 · Deadline Sep 14, 2022 · #c213a
  “"It's not worth it to look at bitcoin two months, two weeks ahead," Lee argued, saying he still believes each bitcoin will be worth $25,000 in five years or about 600 percent higher than current levels.”