# Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin to $20,000 by Dec 31, 2020

Updated Sep 30, 2026 · Web page: https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/arthur-hayes-bitcoin-20k-by-2020/

Arthur Hayes' prediction that Bitcoin would reach $20,000 by December 31, 2020 came true. Bitcoin closed at $21,360 on December 16, 2020, the first close at or above the target. Arthur Hayes made the call on U.Today on April 9, 2020, when Bitcoin was at $7,370. The target needed a 171% rise in nine months.

| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Status | Hit |
| Person | [Arthur Hayes](https://predictionverifier.com/people/arthur-hayes/) |
| Asset | [Bitcoin (BTC)](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/) |
| Outlet | U.Today |
| Said on | Apr 9, 2020 |
| Quote | “The Bitcoin (BTC) price is still on track to hit its all-time high of $20,000 in 2020, according to BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes.” |
| Price when said → target | $7,370 → $20,000 |
| Change | +171% from the price when said |
| Deadline | Dec 31, 2020 |
| Deciding close | First close at or above the target: $21,360 (Dec 16, 2020) |
| Source | [U.Today](https://u.today/bitcoin-btc-price-predicted-to-hit-20000-in-2020-by-bitmex-ceo-arthur-hayes) |
| Archive | [Archive](https://web.archive.org/web/20200507200106/https://u.today/bitcoin-btc-price-predicted-to-hit-20000-in-2020-by-bitmex-ceo-arthur-hayes) |
| How we check | [How we check predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/how-we-check-predictions/#touch) |
| Public ID | #afaad |

## What was said

[Arthur Hayes](https://predictionverifier.com/people/arthur-hayes/) · Chief Investment Officer and Co-Founder, Maelstrom · 8 predictions · 2 hit · 3 missed · 3 open

U.Today, Apr 9, 2020 · [Source](https://u.today/bitcoin-btc-price-predicted-to-hit-20000-in-2020-by-bitmex-ceo-arthur-hayes) · [Archive](https://web.archive.org/web/20200507200106/https://u.today/bitcoin-btc-price-predicted-to-hit-20000-in-2020-by-bitmex-ceo-arthur-hayes)

> The Bitcoin (BTC) price is still on track to hit its all-time high of $20,000 in 2020, according to BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes.

## How we checked this

The prediction comes true if any daily close from Apr 9, 2020 to Dec 31, 2020, inclusive, is at or above $20,000. Prices are daily closes in UTC, not intraday highs.

- Price when said: $7,370 (Apr 8, 2020) · [price data](https://exchange.coinbase.com/trade/BTC-USD)
- Deciding close: $21,360 (Dec 16, 2020) · [price data](https://exchange.coinbase.com/trade/BTC-USD)

[How we check predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/how-we-check-predictions/)

## More from Arthur Hayes

- [Arthur Hayes: Ethereum to $5,000 by Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/arthur-hayes-ethereum-5k-by-2026/) · Open · $1,859 → $5,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #7ab1d
  “Hayes also forecast that Ether (ETH) would reach $5,000 by year-end and said Maelstrom intends to build a significant position while selling out-of-the-money ETH put options.”
- [Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin at or above $500,000 on Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/arthur-hayes-bitcoin-500k-by-2026/) · Open · $76,349 → $500,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #a5999
  “Adding to the bullish sentiment, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has set an end-of-year Bitcoin price target of $500,000 and a $200 target for HYPE, in an exclusive interview with Coinpedia, while reaffirming that the majority of his personal wealth remains stored in Bitcoin.”
- [Arthur Hayes: Ethereum at or above $10,000 on Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/arthur-hayes-ethereum-10k-by-2025/) · Missed · $3,630 → $10,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #c6798
  “My year-end targets: Bitcoin = $250,000. Ether = $10,000.”
- [Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin to $1,000,000 by Dec 31, 2028](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/arthur-hayes-bitcoin-1m-by-2028/) · Open · $97,058 → $1,000,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2028 · #e662b
  “That flood of liquidity, paired with America’s inability to rein in spending, is why Hayes says Bitcoin is heading to $1 million by 2028.”
- [Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/arthur-hayes-bitcoin-250k-by-2025/) · Missed · $82,534 → $250,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #0a962
  “I still believe Bitcoin can hit $250,000 by year-end because now that the BBC has put Powell in his place, the Fed will flood the market with dollars”

## Other Bitcoin predictions

- [Brian Armstrong: Bitcoin to $400,000 by Dec 31, 2030](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/brian-armstrong-bitcoin-400k-by-2030/) · Open · $78,284 → $400,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2030 · #bcf13
  “Coinbase chief executive Brian Armstrong still expects Bitcoin to reach $400,000 by 2030, he told CNBC Squawk Box Asia on Thursday, calling it a "reasonable target" even as BTC currently trades around $77,000.”
- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Jul 4, 2027](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-july-2027/) · Open · $62,520 → $250,000 · Deadline Jul 4, 2027 · #27561
  ““It just wasn’t me. I haven’t touched it. Arkham has it wrong,” Draper told Cointelegraph, adding that he still expects Bitcoin to reach $250,000 within one year.”
- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Oct 14, 2027](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-october-2027/) · Open · $74,446 → $250,000 · Deadline Oct 14, 2027 · #60478
  “I have reason to believe that bitcoin will reach $250K in 18 months … eventually I expect the number to be higher as bitcoin rises and the dollar falls to inflationary pressures.”
- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-2026/) · Open · $93,722 → $250,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #52073
  “2026 será grande. Bitcoin se vuelve convencional. Mi predicción de $250K finalmente alcanzada.”
- [Geoff Kendrick: Bitcoin to $500,000 by Dec 31, 2030](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/geoff-kendrick-bitcoin-500k-by-2030/) · Open · $90,654 → $500,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2030 · #bbcaf
  “Geoff Kendrick, the firm's global head of digital assets research, said he now expects the $500,000 level to be met in 2030, two years later than previously forecast.”

## More on this prediction

- [Arthur Hayes' price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/people/arthur-hayes/)
- [Bitcoin price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/)
- [Bitcoin price predictions for 2020](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/2020/)

Found a mistake on this page? [Report an error](https://predictionverifier.com/report-an-error/?prediction=afaad)