# Ed Yardeni: Gold to $5,000 by Dec 31, 2026

Updated Sep 29, 2026 · Web page: https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-gold-5k-by-2026/

Ed Yardeni's prediction that Gold would reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026 came true. Gold closed at $5,007 on January 26, 2026, the first close at or above the target. Ed Yardeni made the call in Fortune on October 6, 2025, when Gold was at $3,886. The target needed a 29% rise in one year and three months.

| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Status | Hit |
| Person | [Ed Yardeni](https://predictionverifier.com/people/ed-yardeni/) |
| Asset | [Gold (XAU)](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/gold/) |
| Outlet | Fortune |
| Said on | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Quote | “We are now aiming for $5,000 in 2026” |
| Price when said → target | $3,886 → $5,000 |
| Change | +29% from the price when said |
| Deadline | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Deciding close | First close at or above the target: $5,007 (Jan 26, 2026) |
| Source | [Fortune](https://fortune.com/2025/10/11/gold-price-outlook-10000-debasement-trade-dedollarization/) |
| Archive | [Archive](https://web.archive.org/web/20260226081707/https://fortune.com/2025/10/11/gold-price-outlook-10000-debasement-trade-dedollarization/) |
| How we check | [How we check predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/how-we-check-predictions/#touch) |
| Public ID | #6976a |

## What was said

[Ed Yardeni](https://predictionverifier.com/people/ed-yardeni/) · President and Chief Investment Strategist, Yardeni Research · 9 predictions · 6 hit · 1 missed · 2 open

Fortune, Oct 6, 2025 · [Source](https://fortune.com/2025/10/11/gold-price-outlook-10000-debasement-trade-dedollarization/) · [Archive](https://web.archive.org/web/20260226081707/https://fortune.com/2025/10/11/gold-price-outlook-10000-debasement-trade-dedollarization/)

> We are now aiming for $5,000 in 2026

In the note, Yardeni reviewed his earlier bullish gold calls, which the article says the metal had repeatedly reached ahead of schedule. Over that period he cited gold's traditional role as an inflation hedge, central banks de-dollarizing after Russia's assets were frozen, the bursting of China's housing bubble, and Trump's trade war and attempts to upend the geopolitical order.

## How we checked this

The prediction comes true if any daily close from Oct 6, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, is at or above $5,000. Prices are daily spot closes in USD per troy ounce, not intraday highs.

- Price when said: $3,886 (Oct 3, 2025) · [price data](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/XAU%3D)
- Deciding close: $5,007 (Jan 26, 2026) · [price data](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/XAU%3D)

[How we check predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/how-we-check-predictions/)

## More from Ed Yardeni

- [Ed Yardeni: S&P 500 at or above 8,250 on Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-8250-by-2026/) · Open · 7,580 → 8,250 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #3571d
  “In a new CNBC interview, veteran strategist Ed Yardeni says he is raising his year-end target for the stock market index to 8,250.”
- [Ed Yardeni: S&P 500 to 10,000 by Dec 31, 2029](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-10k-by-2029/) · Open · 7,399 → 10,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2029 · #38eac
  “Nevertheless, for now, we are sticking with our 10,000 target for the S&P 500 by the end of 2029”
- [Ed Yardeni: S&P 500 to 7,000 by Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-7000-by-2025/) · Missed · 6,729 → 7,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #f0d42
  “Yardeni argues that corporate earnings have been prolific enough to keep the market afloat, and he predicts that the S&P 500 is about to rally once again, crossing 7,000 by the end of the year.”
- [Ed Yardeni: S&P 500 at or above 6,500 on Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-6500-by-2025/) · Hit · 5,844 → 6,500 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #30b4c
  “The president of Yardeni Research raised his year-end target for the S & P 500 back up to 6,500 from 6,000.”
- [Ed Yardeni: S&P 500 at or above 5,800 on Dec 31, 2024](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-5800-by-2024/) · Hit · 5,577 → 5,800 · Deadline Dec 31, 2024 · #ee7fe
  “Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research late Wednesday hiked his year-end target for the S & P 500 to 5,800 from 5,400.”

## Other Gold predictions

- [Robert Kiyosaki: Gold to $30,000 by Dec 31, 2035](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/robert-kiyosaki-gold-30k-by-2035/) · Open · $3,327 → $30,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2035 · #9405d
  “I strongly believe, by 2035, that one Bitcoin will be over $ 1 million, Gold will be $30,000, and silver $3,000 a coin”
- [Robert Kiyosaki: Gold to $3,300 by Aug 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/robert-kiyosaki-gold-3300-by-2025/) · Hit · $2,401 → $3,300 · Deadline Aug 31, 2025 · #527f3
  “I predict gold will rise from $2,400 an ounce to $3,300; silver from $29.00 an ounce to $79.00; and Bitcoin from $67,400 per coin to $105,000 by August 2025”
- [Robert Kiyosaki: Gold to $5,000 by Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/robert-kiyosaki-gold-5k-by-2025/) · Missed · $1,865 → $5,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #b6d5b
  “By 2025 gold at $5,000 silver at $500 and Bitcoin at $500,000.”
- [Robert Kiyosaki: Gold to $3,800 by Dec 31, 2023](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/robert-kiyosaki-gold-3800-by-2023/) · Missed · $1,804 → $3,800 · Deadline Dec 31, 2023 · #f9e0a
  “I predict silver going to $75 and gold to $3,800 in 2023.”
- [Robert Kiyosaki: Gold to $3,000 by May 16, 2021](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/robert-kiyosaki-gold-3k-by-2021/) · Missed · $1,741 → $3,000 · Deadline May 16, 2021 · #b3801
  “GOLD @$1700. Predict $3000 in 1 year.”

## More on this prediction

- [Ed Yardeni's price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/people/ed-yardeni/)
- [Gold price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/gold/)
- [2026 price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/years/2026/)

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