# PlanB: Bitcoin to $100,000 by Dec 31, 2023 Updated Sep 29, 2026 · Web page: https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-100k-by-2023/ PlanB's prediction that Bitcoin would reach $100,000 by December 31, 2023 did not come true. Bitcoin's best close before the deadline was $47,454 on March 29, 2022, 53% below the target. PlanB made the call on ZyCrypto on February 18, 2022, when Bitcoin was at $40,537. The target needed a 147% rise in one year and ten months. | Field | Value | |---|---| | Status | Missed | | Person | [PlanB](https://predictionverifier.com/people/planb/) | | Asset | [Bitcoin (BTC)](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/) | | Outlet | ZyCrypto | | Said on | Feb 18, 2022 | | Quote | “Both S2F and logarithmic regression point to $100k in 2023.” | | Price when said → target | $40,537 → $100,000 | | Change | +147% from the price when said | | Deadline | Dec 31, 2023 | | Deciding close | Best close before the deadline: $47,454 (Mar 29, 2022) | | Source | [ZyCrypto](https://zycrypto.com/s2f-creator-planb-insists-bitcoin-will-clinch-100000-in-2023-via-this-price-model/) | | Archive | [Archive](https://web.archive.org/web/20260508092428/https://zycrypto.com/s2f-creator-planb-insists-bitcoin-will-clinch-100000-in-2023-via-this-price-model/) | | How we check | [How we check predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/how-we-check-predictions/#touch) | | Public ID | #c7378 | ## What was said [PlanB](https://predictionverifier.com/people/planb/) · Pseudonymous bitcoin analyst; author of the bitcoin stock-to-flow model · 7 predictions · 2 hit · 4 missed · 1 open ZyCrypto, Feb 18, 2022 · [Source](https://zycrypto.com/s2f-creator-planb-insists-bitcoin-will-clinch-100000-in-2023-via-this-price-model/) · [Archive](https://web.archive.org/web/20260508092428/https://zycrypto.com/s2f-creator-planb-insists-bitcoin-will-clinch-100000-in-2023-via-this-price-model/) > Both S2F and logarithmic regression point to $100k in 2023. PlanB based the call on his stock-to-flow model and a logarithmic regression, both of which he said point to that level. He added that he also compares bitcoin's stock-to-flow with markets such as gold and real estate. ## How we checked this The prediction comes true if any daily close from Feb 18, 2022 to Dec 31, 2023, inclusive, is at or above $100,000. Prices are daily closes in UTC, not intraday highs. - Price when said: $40,537 (Feb 17, 2022) · [price data](https://exchange.coinbase.com/trade/BTC-USD) - Deciding close: $47,454 (Mar 29, 2022) · [price data](https://exchange.coinbase.com/trade/BTC-USD) [How we check predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/how-we-check-predictions/) ## More from PlanB - [PlanB: Bitcoin to $300,000 by Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-300k-by-2026/) · Open · $114,216 → $300,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #daa14 “Now, 60% of people think that Bitcoin will not reach $300,000 by the end of 2026 – that’s this line, one and a half years from now. So, by the end of next year, this is the $300,000 point. Sixty percent of people think we’re not going to get there. In my opinion, we will.” - [PlanB: Bitcoin to $270,000 by Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-270k-by-2025/) · Missed · $97,677 → $270,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #65487 “So that’s the absolute minimum Bitcoin price that I expect in 2025: $270,000.” - [PlanB: Bitcoin to $300,000 by Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-300k-by-2025/) · Missed · $63,514 → $300,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #0b4f5 “Bitcoin top greater than $300,000 in 2025.” - [PlanB: Bitcoin to $100,000 by Dec 31, 2024](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-100k-by-2024/) · Hit · $44,221 → $100,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2024 · #a0850 “My forward guidance for 2024 has not changed from Oct 6, 2022 when Bitcoin was 20k (see below): – rise into April 2024 halving – halving around S2F model value 55k (range 30k-100k) – pump after halving – we will hit 100k in 2024” - [PlanB: Bitcoin to $100,000 by Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-100k-by-2025/) · Hit · $19,935 → $100,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #0a9a4 “My two cents on Bitcoin price: – November 2022 low of $15,500 was the bottom. – BTC has crossed Short Term Holder (STH) and will rise into 2024 halving and subsequent 2025 bull market. Several on-chain signals confirm STH signal. – 2024 halving will be > $32,000 – 2025 bull market > $100,000” ## Other Bitcoin predictions - [Brian Armstrong: Bitcoin to $400,000 by Dec 31, 2030](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/brian-armstrong-bitcoin-400k-by-2030/) · Open · $78,284 → $400,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2030 · #bcf13 “Coinbase chief executive Brian Armstrong still expects Bitcoin to reach $400,000 by 2030, he told CNBC Squawk Box Asia on Thursday, calling it a "reasonable target" even as BTC currently trades around $77,000.” - [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Jul 4, 2027](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-july-2027/) · Open · $62,520 → $250,000 · Deadline Jul 4, 2027 · #27561 ““It just wasn’t me. I haven’t touched it. Arkham has it wrong,” Draper told Cointelegraph, adding that he still expects Bitcoin to reach $250,000 within one year.” - [Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin at or above $500,000 on Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/arthur-hayes-bitcoin-500k-by-2026/) · Open · $76,349 → $500,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #a5999 “Adding to the bullish sentiment, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has set an end-of-year Bitcoin price target of $500,000 and a $200 target for HYPE, in an exclusive interview with Coinpedia, while reaffirming that the majority of his personal wealth remains stored in Bitcoin.” - [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Oct 14, 2027](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-october-2027/) · Open · $74,446 → $250,000 · Deadline Oct 14, 2027 · #60478 “I have reason to believe that bitcoin will reach $250K in 18 months … eventually I expect the number to be higher as bitcoin rises and the dollar falls to inflationary pressures.” - [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-2026/) · Open · $93,722 → $250,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #52073 “2026 será grande. Bitcoin se vuelve convencional. Mi predicción de $250K finalmente alcanzada.” ## More on this prediction - [PlanB's price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/people/planb/) - [Bitcoin price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/) - [Bitcoin price predictions for 2023](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/2023/) - [2023 price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/years/2023/) Found a mistake on this page? [Report an error](https://predictionverifier.com/report-an-error/?prediction=c7378)