# PlanB: Bitcoin to $100,000 by Dec 31, 2024

Updated Sep 29, 2026 · Web page: https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-100k-by-2024/

PlanB's prediction that Bitcoin would reach $100,000 by December 31, 2024 came true. Bitcoin closed at $101,175 on December 8, 2024, the first close at or above the target. PlanB made the call on The Daily Hodl on January 2, 2024, when Bitcoin was at $44,221. The target needed a 126% rise in one year.

| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Status | Hit |
| Person | [PlanB](https://predictionverifier.com/people/planb/) |
| Asset | [Bitcoin (BTC)](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/) |
| Outlet | The Daily Hodl |
| Said on | Jan 2, 2024 |
| Quote | “My forward guidance for 2024 has not changed from Oct 6, 2022 when Bitcoin was 20k (see below): – rise into April 2024 halving – halving around S2F model value 55k (range 30k-100k) – pump after halving – we will hit 100k in 2024” |
| Price when said → target | $44,221 → $100,000 |
| Change | +126% from the price when said |
| Deadline | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Deciding close | First close at or above the target: $101,175 (Dec 8, 2024) |
| Source | [The Daily Hodl](https://dailyhodl.com/2024/01/02/planb-says-we-will-hit-100k-in-2024-as-bitcoin-btc-starts-year-off-with-fresh-rallies/) |
| Archive | [Archive](https://web.archive.org/web/20251208231733/https://dailyhodl.com/2024/01/02/planb-says-we-will-hit-100k-in-2024-as-bitcoin-btc-starts-year-off-with-fresh-rallies/) |
| How we check | [How we check predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/how-we-check-predictions/#touch) |
| Public ID | #a0850 |

## What was said

[PlanB](https://predictionverifier.com/people/planb/) · Pseudonymous bitcoin analyst; author of the bitcoin stock-to-flow model · 7 predictions · 2 hit · 4 missed · 1 open

The Daily Hodl, Jan 2, 2024 · [Source](https://dailyhodl.com/2024/01/02/planb-says-we-will-hit-100k-in-2024-as-bitcoin-btc-starts-year-off-with-fresh-rallies/) · [Archive](https://web.archive.org/web/20251208231733/https://dailyhodl.com/2024/01/02/planb-says-we-will-hit-100k-in-2024-as-bitcoin-btc-starts-year-off-with-fresh-rallies/)

> My forward guidance for 2024 has not changed from Oct 6, 2022 when Bitcoin was 20k (see below): – rise into April 2024 halving – halving around S2F model value 55k (range 30k-100k) – pump after halving – we will hit 100k in 2024

PlanB said his forward guidance for 2024 was unchanged since October 2022 and was based on his stock-to-flow (S2F) model. He expected bitcoin to rise into the April 2024 halving, to be around the S2F model value of 55k at the halving, and to pump after it. In a separate post he said bitcoin was ready for ETFs and the halving in 2024.

## How we checked this

The prediction comes true if any daily close from Jan 2, 2024 to Dec 31, 2024, inclusive, is at or above $100,000. Prices are daily closes in UTC, not intraday highs.

- Price when said: $44,221 (Jan 1, 2024) · [price data](https://exchange.coinbase.com/trade/BTC-USD)
- Deciding close: $101,175 (Dec 8, 2024) · [price data](https://exchange.coinbase.com/trade/BTC-USD)

[How we check predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/how-we-check-predictions/)

## More from PlanB

- [PlanB: Bitcoin to $300,000 by Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-300k-by-2026/) · Open · $114,216 → $300,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #daa14
  “Now, 60% of people think that Bitcoin will not reach $300,000 by the end of 2026 – that’s this line, one and a half years from now. So, by the end of next year, this is the $300,000 point. Sixty percent of people think we’re not going to get there. In my opinion, we will.”
- [PlanB: Bitcoin to $270,000 by Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-270k-by-2025/) · Missed · $97,677 → $270,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #65487
  “So that’s the absolute minimum Bitcoin price that I expect in 2025: $270,000.”
- [PlanB: Bitcoin to $300,000 by Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-300k-by-2025/) · Missed · $63,514 → $300,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #0b4f5
  “Bitcoin top greater than $300,000 in 2025.”
- [PlanB: Bitcoin to $100,000 by Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-100k-by-2025/) · Hit · $19,935 → $100,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #0a9a4
  “My two cents on Bitcoin price: – November 2022 low of $15,500 was the bottom. – BTC has crossed Short Term Holder (STH) and will rise into 2024 halving and subsequent 2025 bull market. Several on-chain signals confirm STH signal. – 2024 halving will be > $32,000 – 2025 bull market > $100,000”
- [PlanB: Bitcoin to $100,000 by Dec 31, 2023](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-100k-by-2023/) · Missed · $40,537 → $100,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2023 · #c7378
  “Both S2F and logarithmic regression point to $100k in 2023.”

## Other Bitcoin predictions

- [Brian Armstrong: Bitcoin to $400,000 by Dec 31, 2030](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/brian-armstrong-bitcoin-400k-by-2030/) · Open · $78,284 → $400,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2030 · #bcf13
  “Coinbase chief executive Brian Armstrong still expects Bitcoin to reach $400,000 by 2030, he told CNBC Squawk Box Asia on Thursday, calling it a "reasonable target" even as BTC currently trades around $77,000.”
- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Jul 4, 2027](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-july-2027/) · Open · $62,520 → $250,000 · Deadline Jul 4, 2027 · #27561
  ““It just wasn’t me. I haven’t touched it. Arkham has it wrong,” Draper told Cointelegraph, adding that he still expects Bitcoin to reach $250,000 within one year.”
- [Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin at or above $500,000 on Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/arthur-hayes-bitcoin-500k-by-2026/) · Open · $76,349 → $500,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #a5999
  “Adding to the bullish sentiment, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has set an end-of-year Bitcoin price target of $500,000 and a $200 target for HYPE, in an exclusive interview with Coinpedia, while reaffirming that the majority of his personal wealth remains stored in Bitcoin.”
- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Oct 14, 2027](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-october-2027/) · Open · $74,446 → $250,000 · Deadline Oct 14, 2027 · #60478
  “I have reason to believe that bitcoin will reach $250K in 18 months … eventually I expect the number to be higher as bitcoin rises and the dollar falls to inflationary pressures.”
- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-2026/) · Open · $93,722 → $250,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #52073
  “2026 será grande. Bitcoin se vuelve convencional. Mi predicción de $250K finalmente alcanzada.”

## More on this prediction

- [PlanB's price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/people/planb/)
- [Bitcoin price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/)
- [Bitcoin price predictions for 2024](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/2024/)
- [2024 price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/years/2024/)

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