# PlanB: Bitcoin to $270,000 by Dec 31, 2025

Updated Sep 29, 2026 · Web page: https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-270k-by-2025/

PlanB's prediction that Bitcoin would reach $270,000 by December 31, 2025 did not come true. Bitcoin's best close before the deadline was $124,720 on October 6, 2025, 54% below the target. PlanB made the call on The Daily Hodl on February 3, 2025, when Bitcoin was at $97,677. The target needed a 176% rise in eleven months.

| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Status | Missed |
| Person | [PlanB](https://predictionverifier.com/people/planb/) |
| Asset | [Bitcoin (BTC)](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/) |
| Outlet | The Daily Hodl |
| Said on | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Quote | “So that’s the absolute minimum Bitcoin price that I expect in 2025: $270,000.” |
| Price when said → target | $97,677 → $270,000 |
| Change | +176% from the price when said |
| Deadline | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Deciding close | Best close before the deadline: $124,720 (Oct 6, 2025) |
| Source | [The Daily Hodl](https://dailyhodl.com/2025/02/03/absolute-minimum-of-270000-price-target-coming-for-bitcoin-in-2025-according-to-quant-analyst-planb/) |
| Archive | [Archive](https://web.archive.org/web/20250805043950/https://dailyhodl.com/2025/02/03/absolute-minimum-of-270000-price-target-coming-for-bitcoin-in-2025-according-to-quant-analyst-planb/) |
| How we check | [How we check predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/how-we-check-predictions/#touch) |
| Public ID | #65487 |

## What was said

[PlanB](https://predictionverifier.com/people/planb/) · Pseudonymous bitcoin analyst; author of the bitcoin stock-to-flow model · 7 predictions · 2 hit · 4 missed · 1 open

The Daily Hodl, Feb 3, 2025 · [Source](https://dailyhodl.com/2025/02/03/absolute-minimum-of-270000-price-target-coming-for-bitcoin-in-2025-according-to-quant-analyst-planb/) · [Archive](https://web.archive.org/web/20250805043950/https://dailyhodl.com/2025/02/03/absolute-minimum-of-270000-price-target-coming-for-bitcoin-in-2025-according-to-quant-analyst-planb/)

> So that’s the absolute minimum Bitcoin price that I expect in 2025: $270,000.

PlanB pointed to Bitcoin's monthly relative strength index approaching 80 and said past bull-market peaks saw several months with the RSI above 80. He said the average monthly return in those periods was over 40%, and that he expects at least three such months, which by his arithmetic would take the price from $100,000 to $270,000.

## How we checked this

The prediction comes true if any daily close from Feb 3, 2025 to Dec 31, 2025, inclusive, is at or above $270,000. Prices are daily closes in UTC, not intraday highs.

- Price when said: $97,677 (Feb 2, 2025) · [price data](https://exchange.coinbase.com/trade/BTC-USD)
- Deciding close: $124,720 (Oct 6, 2025) · [price data](https://exchange.coinbase.com/trade/BTC-USD)

[How we check predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/how-we-check-predictions/)

## More from PlanB

- [PlanB: Bitcoin to $300,000 by Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-300k-by-2026/) · Open · $114,216 → $300,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #daa14
  “Now, 60% of people think that Bitcoin will not reach $300,000 by the end of 2026 – that’s this line, one and a half years from now. So, by the end of next year, this is the $300,000 point. Sixty percent of people think we’re not going to get there. In my opinion, we will.”
- [PlanB: Bitcoin to $300,000 by Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-300k-by-2025/) · Missed · $63,514 → $300,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #0b4f5
  “Bitcoin top greater than $300,000 in 2025.”
- [PlanB: Bitcoin to $100,000 by Dec 31, 2024](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-100k-by-2024/) · Hit · $44,221 → $100,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2024 · #a0850
  “My forward guidance for 2024 has not changed from Oct 6, 2022 when Bitcoin was 20k (see below): – rise into April 2024 halving – halving around S2F model value 55k (range 30k-100k) – pump after halving – we will hit 100k in 2024”
- [PlanB: Bitcoin to $100,000 by Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-100k-by-2025/) · Hit · $19,935 → $100,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #0a9a4
  “My two cents on Bitcoin price: – November 2022 low of $15,500 was the bottom. – BTC has crossed Short Term Holder (STH) and will rise into 2024 halving and subsequent 2025 bull market. Several on-chain signals confirm STH signal. – 2024 halving will be > $32,000 – 2025 bull market > $100,000”
- [PlanB: Bitcoin to $100,000 by Dec 31, 2023](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-100k-by-2023/) · Missed · $40,537 → $100,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2023 · #c7378
  “Both S2F and logarithmic regression point to $100k in 2023.”

## Other Bitcoin predictions

- [Brian Armstrong: Bitcoin to $400,000 by Dec 31, 2030](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/brian-armstrong-bitcoin-400k-by-2030/) · Open · $78,284 → $400,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2030 · #bcf13
  “Coinbase chief executive Brian Armstrong still expects Bitcoin to reach $400,000 by 2030, he told CNBC Squawk Box Asia on Thursday, calling it a "reasonable target" even as BTC currently trades around $77,000.”
- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Jul 4, 2027](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-july-2027/) · Open · $62,520 → $250,000 · Deadline Jul 4, 2027 · #27561
  ““It just wasn’t me. I haven’t touched it. Arkham has it wrong,” Draper told Cointelegraph, adding that he still expects Bitcoin to reach $250,000 within one year.”
- [Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin at or above $500,000 on Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/arthur-hayes-bitcoin-500k-by-2026/) · Open · $76,349 → $500,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #a5999
  “Adding to the bullish sentiment, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has set an end-of-year Bitcoin price target of $500,000 and a $200 target for HYPE, in an exclusive interview with Coinpedia, while reaffirming that the majority of his personal wealth remains stored in Bitcoin.”
- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Oct 14, 2027](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-october-2027/) · Open · $74,446 → $250,000 · Deadline Oct 14, 2027 · #60478
  “I have reason to believe that bitcoin will reach $250K in 18 months … eventually I expect the number to be higher as bitcoin rises and the dollar falls to inflationary pressures.”
- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-2026/) · Open · $93,722 → $250,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #52073
  “2026 será grande. Bitcoin se vuelve convencional. Mi predicción de $250K finalmente alcanzada.”

## More on this prediction

- [PlanB's price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/people/planb/)
- [Bitcoin price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/)
- [Bitcoin price predictions for 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/2025/)
- [2025 price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/years/2025/)

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