# Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Dec 31, 2025

Updated Sep 29, 2026 · Web page: https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-2025/

Tim Draper's prediction that Bitcoin would reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025 did not come true. Bitcoin's best close before the deadline was $124,720 on October 6, 2025, 50% below the target. Tim Draper made the call on CoinDesk on May 13, 2025, when Bitcoin was at $102,800. The target needed a 143% rise in eight months.

| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Status | Missed |
| Person | [Tim Draper](https://predictionverifier.com/people/tim-draper/) |
| Asset | [Bitcoin (BTC)](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/) |
| Outlet | CoinDesk |
| Said on | May 13, 2025 |
| Quote | “Draper reiterated his prediction that bitcoin will rise to $250,000 by the end of 2025, and that after a decade it will be “infinity against the dollar because there won’t be a dollar.”” |
| Price when said → target | $102,800 → $250,000 |
| Change | +143% from the price when said |
| Deadline | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Deciding close | Best close before the deadline: $124,720 (Oct 6, 2025) |
| Source | [CoinDesk](https://www.coindesk.com/coindesk-news/2025/05/13/bitcoin-will-replace-us-dollar-in-10-years-says-billionaire-vc-tim-draper) |
| Archive | [Archive](https://web.archive.org/web/20250630105612/https://www.coindesk.com/coindesk-news/2025/05/13/bitcoin-will-replace-us-dollar-in-10-years-says-billionaire-vc-tim-draper) |
| How we check | [How we check predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/how-we-check-predictions/#touch) |
| Public ID | #5fff1 |

## What was said

[Tim Draper](https://predictionverifier.com/people/tim-draper/) · Founder and Managing Partner, Draper Associates · 6 predictions · 3 missed · 3 open

CoinDesk, May 13, 2025 · [Source](https://www.coindesk.com/coindesk-news/2025/05/13/bitcoin-will-replace-us-dollar-in-10-years-says-billionaire-vc-tim-draper) · [Archive](https://web.archive.org/web/20250630105612/https://www.coindesk.com/coindesk-news/2025/05/13/bitcoin-will-replace-us-dollar-in-10-years-says-billionaire-vc-tim-draper)

> Draper reiterated his prediction that bitcoin will rise to $250,000 by the end of 2025, and that after a decade it will be “infinity against the dollar because there won’t be a dollar.”

The article does not give reasons tied specifically to the $250,000 figure. In the same CoinDesk interview Draper argued that bitcoin will replace U.S. dollar dominance within about a decade, that there will be a run on fiat banks as trust in governments wanes, and that stablecoins are subject to inflation while bitcoin is not.

## How we checked this

The prediction comes true if any daily close from May 13, 2025 to Dec 31, 2025, inclusive, is at or above $250,000. Prices are daily closes in UTC, not intraday highs.

- Price when said: $102,800 (May 12, 2025) · [price data](https://exchange.coinbase.com/trade/BTC-USD)
- Deciding close: $124,720 (Oct 6, 2025) · [price data](https://exchange.coinbase.com/trade/BTC-USD)

[How we check predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/how-we-check-predictions/)

## Related

### Revised later

- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Oct 14, 2027](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-october-2027/) · Open · $74,446 → $250,000 · Deadline Oct 14, 2027 · #60478
  “I have reason to believe that bitcoin will reach $250K in 18 months … eventually I expect the number to be higher as bitcoin rises and the dollar falls to inflationary pressures.”

### Earlier call

- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Jun 30, 2023](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-2023/) · Missed · $17,109 → $250,000 · Deadline Jun 30, 2023 · #d2906
  “I have extended my prediction by six months. $250k is still my number”

## More from Tim Draper

- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Jul 4, 2027](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-july-2027/) · Open · $62,520 → $250,000 · Deadline Jul 4, 2027 · #27561
  ““It just wasn’t me. I haven’t touched it. Arkham has it wrong,” Draper told Cointelegraph, adding that he still expects Bitcoin to reach $250,000 within one year.”
- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-2026/) · Open · $93,722 → $250,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #52073
  “2026 será grande. Bitcoin se vuelve convencional. Mi predicción de $250K finalmente alcanzada.”
- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Dec 31, 2022](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-2022/) · Missed · $7,916 → $250,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2022 · #d4ba9
  “Oops! I predicted $250k in 2022. My tweet last night was missing a zero. $250k is the number!”

## Other Bitcoin predictions

- [Brian Armstrong: Bitcoin to $400,000 by Dec 31, 2030](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/brian-armstrong-bitcoin-400k-by-2030/) · Open · $78,284 → $400,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2030 · #bcf13
  “Coinbase chief executive Brian Armstrong still expects Bitcoin to reach $400,000 by 2030, he told CNBC Squawk Box Asia on Thursday, calling it a "reasonable target" even as BTC currently trades around $77,000.”
- [Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin at or above $500,000 on Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/arthur-hayes-bitcoin-500k-by-2026/) · Open · $76,349 → $500,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #a5999
  “Adding to the bullish sentiment, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has set an end-of-year Bitcoin price target of $500,000 and a $200 target for HYPE, in an exclusive interview with Coinpedia, while reaffirming that the majority of his personal wealth remains stored in Bitcoin.”
- [Geoff Kendrick: Bitcoin to $500,000 by Dec 31, 2030](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/geoff-kendrick-bitcoin-500k-by-2030/) · Open · $90,654 → $500,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2030 · #bbcaf
  “Geoff Kendrick, the firm's global head of digital assets research, said he now expects the $500,000 level to be met in 2030, two years later than previously forecast.”
- [Tom Lee: Bitcoin to $300,000 by Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-bitcoin-300k-by-2026/) · Open · $93,454 → $300,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #891a1
  “He added that BTC will mirror the performance of the S&P 500 US stock index next year and predicted a price high of $300,000.”
- [Robert Kiyosaki: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/robert-kiyosaki-bitcoin-250k-by-2026/) · Open · $102,286 → $250,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #6f9f1
  “My target price for Bitcoin is $250 k in 2026.”

## More on this prediction

- [Tim Draper's price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/people/tim-draper/)
- [Bitcoin price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/)
- [Bitcoin price predictions for 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/2025/)
- [2025 price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/years/2025/)

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