# Tom Lee: Bitcoin to $150,000 by Dec 31, 2025

Updated Sep 29, 2026 · Web page: https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-bitcoin-150k-by-2025/

Tom Lee's prediction that Bitcoin would reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025 did not come true. Bitcoin's best close before the deadline was $124,720 on October 6, 2025, 17% below the target. Tom Lee made the call on CNBC on March 3, 2025, when Bitcoin was at $94,265. The target needed a 59% rise in ten months.

| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Status | Missed |
| Person | [Tom Lee](https://predictionverifier.com/people/tom-lee/) |
| Asset | [Bitcoin (BTC)](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/) |
| Outlet | CNBC |
| Said on | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Quote | “Speaking on CNBC‘s Squawk Box on Monday, March 3, Lee noted that he expects Bitcoin to “do better than $150,000 this year,” citing widening acceptance.” |
| Price when said → target | $94,265 → $150,000 |
| Change | +59% from the price when said |
| Deadline | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Deciding close | Best close before the deadline: $124,720 (Oct 6, 2025) |
| Source | [CNBC](https://thecryptobasic.com/2025/03/03/bitcoin-will-do-better-than-150000-this-year-fundrstrats-tom-lee/) |
| Archive | [Archive](https://web.archive.org/web/20260216003228/https://thecryptobasic.com/2025/03/03/bitcoin-will-do-better-than-150000-this-year-fundrstrats-tom-lee/) |
| How we check | [How we check predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/how-we-check-predictions/#touch) |
| Public ID | #614af |

## What was said

[Tom Lee](https://predictionverifier.com/people/tom-lee/) · Head of Research, Fundstrat Global Advisors; Chairman, Bitmine Immersion Technologies · 8 predictions · 2 hit · 4 missed · 2 open

CNBC, Mar 3, 2025 · [Source](https://thecryptobasic.com/2025/03/03/bitcoin-will-do-better-than-150000-this-year-fundrstrats-tom-lee/) · [Archive](https://web.archive.org/web/20260216003228/https://thecryptobasic.com/2025/03/03/bitcoin-will-do-better-than-150000-this-year-fundrstrats-tom-lee/)

> Speaking on CNBC‘s Squawk Box on Monday, March 3, Lee noted that he expects Bitcoin to “do better than $150,000 this year,” citing widening acceptance.

Lee said Bitcoin is becoming more widely held and pointed to Citadel starting to trade it as a sign of broader acceptance. He described the February 2025 decline as part of a routine cyclical drop and warned against trying to time the asset, saying Bitcoin makes all of its gains in 10 days.

## How we checked this

The prediction comes true if any daily close from Mar 3, 2025 to Dec 31, 2025, inclusive, is at or above $150,000. Prices are daily closes in UTC, not intraday highs.

- Price when said: $94,265 (Mar 2, 2025) · [price data](https://exchange.coinbase.com/trade/BTC-USD)
- Deciding close: $124,720 (Oct 6, 2025) · [price data](https://exchange.coinbase.com/trade/BTC-USD)

[How we check predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/how-we-check-predictions/)

## More from Tom Lee

- [Tom Lee: S&P 500 at or above 8,000 on Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-sp500-8000-by-2026/) · Open · 7,365 → 8,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #266cb
  “We are giving a mid-year update and raising our year-end target for S & P 500 to 8,000 from 7,700.”
- [Tom Lee: Bitcoin to $300,000 by Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-bitcoin-300k-by-2026/) · Open · $93,454 → $300,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #891a1
  “He added that BTC will mirror the performance of the S&P 500 US stock index next year and predicted a price high of $300,000.”
- [Tom Lee: Bitcoin to $200,000 by Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-bitcoin-200k-by-2025/) · Missed · $111,130 → $200,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #e8979
  “I think Bitcoin can easily get to $200,000 before the end of the year, and I know that's a big move.”
- [Tom Lee: S&P 500 at or above 3,125 on Dec 31, 2019](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-sp500-3125-by-2019/) · Hit · 2,918 → 3,125 · Deadline Dec 31, 2019 · #379a0
  “In a note to clients, the co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors raised his S&P 500 year-end target to 3,125 from 2,925, which represents a 7% gain from Thursday's 2,917 close.”
- [Tom Lee: S&P 500 to 2,835 by Dec 31, 2019](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-sp500-2835-by-2019/) · Hit · 2,597 → 2,835 · Deadline Dec 31, 2019 · #b4a6b
  “In his latest investor note released Friday morning, Lee predicted the S&P 500 would hit 2,835 by the end of the year.”

## Other Bitcoin predictions

- [Brian Armstrong: Bitcoin to $400,000 by Dec 31, 2030](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/brian-armstrong-bitcoin-400k-by-2030/) · Open · $78,284 → $400,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2030 · #bcf13
  “Coinbase chief executive Brian Armstrong still expects Bitcoin to reach $400,000 by 2030, he told CNBC Squawk Box Asia on Thursday, calling it a "reasonable target" even as BTC currently trades around $77,000.”
- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Jul 4, 2027](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-july-2027/) · Open · $62,520 → $250,000 · Deadline Jul 4, 2027 · #27561
  ““It just wasn’t me. I haven’t touched it. Arkham has it wrong,” Draper told Cointelegraph, adding that he still expects Bitcoin to reach $250,000 within one year.”
- [Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin at or above $500,000 on Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/arthur-hayes-bitcoin-500k-by-2026/) · Open · $76,349 → $500,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #a5999
  “Adding to the bullish sentiment, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has set an end-of-year Bitcoin price target of $500,000 and a $200 target for HYPE, in an exclusive interview with Coinpedia, while reaffirming that the majority of his personal wealth remains stored in Bitcoin.”
- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Oct 14, 2027](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-october-2027/) · Open · $74,446 → $250,000 · Deadline Oct 14, 2027 · #60478
  “I have reason to believe that bitcoin will reach $250K in 18 months … eventually I expect the number to be higher as bitcoin rises and the dollar falls to inflationary pressures.”
- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-2026/) · Open · $93,722 → $250,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #52073
  “2026 será grande. Bitcoin se vuelve convencional. Mi predicción de $250K finalmente alcanzada.”

## More on this prediction

- [Tom Lee's price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/people/tom-lee/)
- [Bitcoin price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/)
- [Bitcoin price predictions for 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/2025/)
- [2025 price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/years/2025/)

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