# Tom Lee: Bitcoin to $200,000 by Dec 31, 2025

Updated Sep 28, 2026 · Web page: https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-bitcoin-200k-by-2025/

Tom Lee's prediction that Bitcoin would reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025 did not come true. Bitcoin's best close before the deadline was $124,720 on October 6, 2025, 38% below the target. Tom Lee made the call on Decrypt on September 8, 2025, when Bitcoin was at $111,130. The target needed an 80% rise in four months.

| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Status | Missed |
| Person | [Tom Lee](https://predictionverifier.com/people/tom-lee/) |
| Asset | [Bitcoin (BTC)](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/) |
| Outlet | Decrypt |
| Said on | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Quote | “I think Bitcoin can easily get to $200,000 before the end of the year, and I know that's a big move.” |
| Price when said → target | $111,130 → $200,000 |
| Change | +80% from the price when said |
| Deadline | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Deciding close | Best close before the deadline: $124,720 (Oct 6, 2025) |
| Source | [Decrypt](https://decrypt.co/338535/bitcoin-reach-200k-this-year-tom-lee) |
| Archive | [Archive](https://web.archive.org/web/20260315174302/https://decrypt.co/338535/bitcoin-reach-200k-this-year-tom-lee) |
| How we check | [How we check predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/how-we-check-predictions/#touch) |
| Public ID | #e8979 |

## What was said

[Tom Lee](https://predictionverifier.com/people/tom-lee/) · Head of Research, Fundstrat Global Advisors; Chairman, Bitmine Immersion Technologies · 8 predictions · 2 hit · 4 missed · 2 open

Decrypt, Sep 8, 2025 · [Source](https://decrypt.co/338535/bitcoin-reach-200k-this-year-tom-lee) · [Archive](https://web.archive.org/web/20260315174302/https://decrypt.co/338535/bitcoin-reach-200k-this-year-tom-lee)

> I think Bitcoin can easily get to $200,000 before the end of the year, and I know that's a big move.

Lee said Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum are highly sensitive to monetary policy. He described the Federal Reserve meeting on September 17, where an interest rate cut was expected, as an important catalyst that would push the asset higher.

## How we checked this

The prediction comes true if any daily close from Sep 8, 2025 to Dec 31, 2025, inclusive, is at or above $200,000. Prices are daily closes in UTC, not intraday highs.

- Price when said: $111,130 (Sep 7, 2025) · [price data](https://exchange.coinbase.com/trade/BTC-USD)
- Deciding close: $124,720 (Oct 6, 2025) · [price data](https://exchange.coinbase.com/trade/BTC-USD)

[How we check predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/how-we-check-predictions/)

## More from Tom Lee

- [Tom Lee: S&P 500 at or above 8,000 on Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-sp500-8000-by-2026/) · Open · 7,365 → 8,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #266cb
  “We are giving a mid-year update and raising our year-end target for S & P 500 to 8,000 from 7,700.”
- [Tom Lee: Bitcoin to $300,000 by Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-bitcoin-300k-by-2026/) · Open · $93,454 → $300,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #891a1
  “He added that BTC will mirror the performance of the S&P 500 US stock index next year and predicted a price high of $300,000.”
- [Tom Lee: Bitcoin to $150,000 by Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-bitcoin-150k-by-2025/) · Missed · $94,265 → $150,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #614af
  “Speaking on CNBC‘s Squawk Box on Monday, March 3, Lee noted that he expects Bitcoin to “do better than $150,000 this year,” citing widening acceptance.”
- [Tom Lee: S&P 500 at or above 3,125 on Dec 31, 2019](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-sp500-3125-by-2019/) · Hit · 2,918 → 3,125 · Deadline Dec 31, 2019 · #379a0
  “In a note to clients, the co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors raised his S&P 500 year-end target to 3,125 from 2,925, which represents a 7% gain from Thursday's 2,917 close.”
- [Tom Lee: S&P 500 to 2,835 by Dec 31, 2019](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-sp500-2835-by-2019/) · Hit · 2,597 → 2,835 · Deadline Dec 31, 2019 · #b4a6b
  “In his latest investor note released Friday morning, Lee predicted the S&P 500 would hit 2,835 by the end of the year.”

## Other Bitcoin predictions

- [Brian Armstrong: Bitcoin to $400,000 by Dec 31, 2030](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/brian-armstrong-bitcoin-400k-by-2030/) · Open · $78,284 → $400,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2030 · #bcf13
  “Coinbase chief executive Brian Armstrong still expects Bitcoin to reach $400,000 by 2030, he told CNBC Squawk Box Asia on Thursday, calling it a "reasonable target" even as BTC currently trades around $77,000.”
- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Jul 4, 2027](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-july-2027/) · Open · $62,520 → $250,000 · Deadline Jul 4, 2027 · #27561
  ““It just wasn’t me. I haven’t touched it. Arkham has it wrong,” Draper told Cointelegraph, adding that he still expects Bitcoin to reach $250,000 within one year.”
- [Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin at or above $500,000 on Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/arthur-hayes-bitcoin-500k-by-2026/) · Open · $76,349 → $500,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #a5999
  “Adding to the bullish sentiment, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has set an end-of-year Bitcoin price target of $500,000 and a $200 target for HYPE, in an exclusive interview with Coinpedia, while reaffirming that the majority of his personal wealth remains stored in Bitcoin.”
- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Oct 14, 2027](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-october-2027/) · Open · $74,446 → $250,000 · Deadline Oct 14, 2027 · #60478
  “I have reason to believe that bitcoin will reach $250K in 18 months … eventually I expect the number to be higher as bitcoin rises and the dollar falls to inflationary pressures.”
- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-2026/) · Open · $93,722 → $250,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #52073
  “2026 será grande. Bitcoin se vuelve convencional. Mi predicción de $250K finalmente alcanzada.”

## More on this prediction

- [Tom Lee's price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/people/tom-lee/)
- [Bitcoin price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/)
- [Bitcoin price predictions for 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/2025/)
- [2025 price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/years/2025/)

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