# Tom Lee: S&P 500 at or above 8,000 on Dec 31, 2026

Updated Sep 29, 2026 · Web page: https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-sp500-8000-by-2026/

As of September 29, 2026, Tom Lee's prediction that S&P 500 would be at or above 8,000 on December 31, 2026 is open. Tom Lee made the call on CNBC on June 24, 2026, when S&P 500 was at 7,365. The target calls for an 8.6% rise in six months.

| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Status | Open |
| Person | [Tom Lee](https://predictionverifier.com/people/tom-lee/) |
| Asset | [S&P 500 (SPX)](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/sp500/) |
| Outlet | CNBC |
| Said on | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Quote | “We are giving a mid-year update and raising our year-end target for S & P 500 to 8,000 from 7,700.” |
| Price when said → target | 7,365 → 8,000 |
| Change | +8.6% from the price when said |
| Deadline | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Source | [CNBC](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/25/fundstrats-lee-joins-wall-street-bulls-in-calling-for-sp-at-8000.html) |
| Archive | [Archive](https://web.archive.org/web/20260628094312/https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/25/fundstrats-lee-joins-wall-street-bulls-in-calling-for-sp-at-8000.html) |
| How we check | [How we check predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/how-we-check-predictions/#at-deadline) |
| Public ID | #266cb |

## What was said

[Tom Lee](https://predictionverifier.com/people/tom-lee/) · Head of Research, Fundstrat Global Advisors; Chairman, Bitmine Immersion Technologies · 8 predictions · 2 hit · 4 missed · 2 open

CNBC, Jun 24, 2026 · [Source](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/25/fundstrats-lee-joins-wall-street-bulls-in-calling-for-sp-at-8000.html) · [Archive](https://web.archive.org/web/20260628094312/https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/25/fundstrats-lee-joins-wall-street-bulls-in-calling-for-sp-at-8000.html)

> We are giving a mid-year update and raising our year-end target for S & P 500 to 8,000 from 7,700.

Lee said the higher target was mainly due to higher earnings-per-share estimates for 2027, while Fundstrat applied a lower target P/E. He cautioned that the path to the target was unlikely to be smooth.

## How we checked this

The close of the last trading day on or before Dec 31, 2026 decides: the prediction comes true if that close is at or above 8,000. Prices are daily closes, not intraday highs.

- Price when said: 7,365 (Jun 23, 2026) · [price data](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.SPX)

[How we check predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/how-we-check-predictions/)

## More from Tom Lee

- [Tom Lee: Bitcoin to $300,000 by Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-bitcoin-300k-by-2026/) · Open · $93,454 → $300,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #891a1
  “He added that BTC will mirror the performance of the S&P 500 US stock index next year and predicted a price high of $300,000.”
- [Tom Lee: Bitcoin to $200,000 by Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-bitcoin-200k-by-2025/) · Missed · $111,130 → $200,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #e8979
  “I think Bitcoin can easily get to $200,000 before the end of the year, and I know that's a big move.”
- [Tom Lee: Bitcoin to $150,000 by Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-bitcoin-150k-by-2025/) · Missed · $94,265 → $150,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #614af
  “Speaking on CNBC‘s Squawk Box on Monday, March 3, Lee noted that he expects Bitcoin to “do better than $150,000 this year,” citing widening acceptance.”
- [Tom Lee: S&P 500 at or above 3,125 on Dec 31, 2019](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-sp500-3125-by-2019/) · Hit · 2,918 → 3,125 · Deadline Dec 31, 2019 · #379a0
  “In a note to clients, the co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors raised his S&P 500 year-end target to 3,125 from 2,925, which represents a 7% gain from Thursday's 2,917 close.”
- [Tom Lee: S&P 500 to 2,835 by Dec 31, 2019](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tom-lee-sp500-2835-by-2019/) · Hit · 2,597 → 2,835 · Deadline Dec 31, 2019 · #b4a6b
  “In his latest investor note released Friday morning, Lee predicted the S&P 500 would hit 2,835 by the end of the year.”

## Other S&P 500 predictions

- [Ed Yardeni: S&P 500 at or above 8,250 on Dec 31, 2026](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-8250-by-2026/) · Open · 7,580 → 8,250 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 · #3571d
  “In a new CNBC interview, veteran strategist Ed Yardeni says he is raising his year-end target for the stock market index to 8,250.”
- [Ed Yardeni: S&P 500 to 10,000 by Dec 31, 2029](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-10k-by-2029/) · Open · 7,399 → 10,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2029 · #38eac
  “Nevertheless, for now, we are sticking with our 10,000 target for the S&P 500 by the end of 2029”
- [Ed Yardeni: S&P 500 to 7,000 by Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-7000-by-2025/) · Missed · 6,729 → 7,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #f0d42
  “Yardeni argues that corporate earnings have been prolific enough to keep the market afloat, and he predicts that the S&P 500 is about to rally once again, crossing 7,000 by the end of the year.”
- [Ed Yardeni: S&P 500 at or above 6,500 on Dec 31, 2025](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-6500-by-2025/) · Hit · 5,844 → 6,500 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 · #30b4c
  “The president of Yardeni Research raised his year-end target for the S & P 500 back up to 6,500 from 6,000.”
- [Ed Yardeni: S&P 500 at or above 5,800 on Dec 31, 2024](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-5800-by-2024/) · Hit · 5,577 → 5,800 · Deadline Dec 31, 2024 · #ee7fe
  “Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research late Wednesday hiked his year-end target for the S & P 500 to 5,800 from 5,400.”

## More on this prediction

- [Tom Lee's price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/people/tom-lee/)
- [S&P 500 price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/sp500/)
- [2026 price predictions](https://predictionverifier.com/years/2026/)

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