# 2023 price predictions: what came true and what didn't

Updated Sep 29, 2026 · Web page: https://predictionverifier.com/years/2023/

As of September 29, 2026, we track 8 price predictions with deadlines in 2023, from six public figures. One came true and seven did not. They covered Bitcoin (3), S&P 500 (2), Ethereum (1), Gold (1) and one other asset.

Hit 1 · Missed 7 · Open 0

## Hit

### [S&P 500](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/sp500/)

- [Ed Yardeni: S&P 500 at or above 4,600 on Dec 31, 2023](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-4600-by-2023/) · Hit · 3,971 → 4,600 · Deadline Dec 31, 2023 · #9bb7e
  “The president of Yardeni Research set his S & P 500 year-end target at 4,600, which would translate into a roughly 20% gain for the year and a 14% rally from Wednesday's close of 4,027.81.”

## Missed

### [Bitcoin](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/2023/)

- [PlanB: Bitcoin to $100,000 by Dec 31, 2023](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-100k-by-2023/) · Missed · $40,537 → $100,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2023 · #c7378
  “Both S2F and logarithmic regression point to $100k in 2023.”
- [Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Jun 30, 2023](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/tim-draper-bitcoin-250k-by-2023/) · Missed · $17,109 → $250,000 · Deadline Jun 30, 2023 · #d2906
  “I have extended my prediction by six months. $250k is still my number”
- [Robert Kiyosaki: Bitcoin to $75,000 by May 16, 2023](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/robert-kiyosaki-bitcoin-75k-by-2023/) · Missed · $9,312 → $75,000 · Deadline May 16, 2023 · #b65f2
  “Bitcoin @$9800. Predict $75000 in 3 years.”

### [Ethereum](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/ethereum/)

- [Arthur Hayes: Ethereum to $5,000 by Mar 31, 2023](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/arthur-hayes-ethereum-5k-by-2023/) · Missed · $1,608 → $5,000 · Deadline Mar 31, 2023 · #ba00d
  “Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes says he expects Ethereum to reach $5,000 by the end of Q1 2023.”

### [Gold](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/gold/)

- [Robert Kiyosaki: Gold to $3,800 by Dec 31, 2023](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/robert-kiyosaki-gold-3800-by-2023/) · Missed · $1,804 → $3,800 · Deadline Dec 31, 2023 · #f9e0a
  “I predict silver going to $75 and gold to $3,800 in 2023.”

### [S&P 500](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/sp500/)

- [Mike Wilson: S&P 500 to 3,900 by Dec 31, 2023](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/mike-wilson-sp500-3900-by-2023/) · Missed · 4,328 → 3,900 · Deadline Dec 31, 2023 · #e247b
  “Wilson now forecasts the S & P 500 to fall to 3,900 by the end of 2023.”

### [Silver](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/silver/)

- [Robert Kiyosaki: Silver to $75 by Dec 31, 2023](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/robert-kiyosaki-silver-75-by-2023/) · Missed · $23.52 → $75 · Deadline Dec 31, 2023 · #3db9d
  “I predict silver going to $75 and gold to $3,800 in 2023.”