# 2024 price predictions: what came true and what didn't

Updated Sep 30, 2026 · Web page: https://predictionverifier.com/years/2024/

As of September 30, 2026, we track 10 price predictions with deadlines in 2024, from six public figures. Four came true and six did not. They covered Bitcoin (7), Ethereum (1), Palantir (1) and S&P 500 (1).

Hit 4 · Missed 6 · Open 0

## Hit

### [Bitcoin](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/2024/)

- [PlanB: Bitcoin to $100,000 by Dec 31, 2024](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/planb-bitcoin-100k-by-2024/) · Hit · $44,221 → $100,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2024 · #a0850
  “My forward guidance for 2024 has not changed from Oct 6, 2022 when Bitcoin was 20k (see below): – rise into April 2024 halving – halving around S2F model value 55k (range 30k-100k) – pump after halving – we will hit 100k in 2024”
- [Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin to $70,000 by Dec 31, 2024](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/arthur-hayes-bitcoin-70k-by-2024/) · Hit · $28,070 → $70,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2024 · #ba1d4
  “I don’t think we get up to $70,000 this year. Next year is when we cross that barrier and then we get the blow-off top 2025, 2026.”

### [Ethereum](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/ethereum/)

- [Geoff Kendrick: Ethereum to $4,000 by Dec 31, 2024](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/geoff-kendrick-ethereum-4k-by-2024/) · Hit · $1,568 → $4,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2024 · #9d3de
  “In the shorter term, said Kendrick, the bitcoin [BTC] halving in April 2024 "should help lift all boats," and he sees ether hitting $4,000 by the end of next year.”

### [S&P 500](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/sp500/)

- [Ed Yardeni: S&P 500 at or above 5,800 on Dec 31, 2024](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/ed-yardeni-sp500-5800-by-2024/) · Hit · 5,577 → 5,800 · Deadline Dec 31, 2024 · #ee7fe
  “Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research late Wednesday hiked his year-end target for the S & P 500 to 5,800 from 5,400.”

## Missed

### [Bitcoin](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/bitcoin/2024/)

- [Geoff Kendrick: Bitcoin at or above $100,000 on Dec 31, 2024](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/geoff-kendrick-bitcoin-100k-by-2024/) · Missed · $30,168 → $100,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2024 · #330e4
  “We now think this estimate is too conservative, and we therefore see upside to our end-2024 target of around $100,000.”
- [Robert Kiyosaki: Bitcoin to $300,000 by Dec 31, 2024](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/robert-kiyosaki-bitcoin-300k-by-2024/) · Missed · $63,801 → $300,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2024 · #6d923
  “Next stop $300,000 per BC in 2024”
- [Robert Kiyosaki: Bitcoin to $120,000 by Dec 31, 2024](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/robert-kiyosaki-bitcoin-120k-by-2024/) · Missed · $30,420 → $120,000 · Deadline Dec 31, 2024 · #f933e
  “Bitcoin to $120k next year.”
- [Robert Kiyosaki: Bitcoin to $350,000 by Aug 25, 2024](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/robert-kiyosaki-bitcoin-350k-by-2024/) · Missed · $70,542 → $350,000 · Deadline Aug 25, 2024 · #e5360
  “BITCOIN will be $350,000 by August 25, 2024 is not a lie.”
- [Robert Kiyosaki: Bitcoin to $100,000 by Jun 30, 2024](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/robert-kiyosaki-bitcoin-100k-by-2024/) · Missed · $51,666 → $100,000 · Deadline Jun 30, 2024 · #38f3a
  “Indeed, the famous investor and finance educator, who has been quite bullish on Bitcoin for a long time, has voiced his expectations that the flagship decentralized finance (DeFi) asset will hit $100,000 by June this year, as he said in an X post on February 18.”

### [Palantir](https://predictionverifier.com/assets/palantir/)

- [Jim Cramer: Palantir to $100 by Dec 31, 2024](https://predictionverifier.com/predictions/jim-cramer-palantir-100-by-2024/) · Missed · $74.21 → $100 · Deadline Dec 31, 2024 · #5753f
  “At this point it is pretty obvious that the buyers want to take Palantir to $100 by yearend and i think they have the firepower to do it.”