Skip to content
PredictionVerifier

Tom Lee: Bitcoin to $200,000 by Dec 31, 2025

Tom Lee's prediction that Bitcoin would reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025 did not come true. Bitcoin's best close before the deadline was $124,720 on October 6, 2025, 38% below the target. Tom Lee made the call on Decrypt on September 8, 2025, when Bitcoin was at $111,130. The target needed an 80% rise in four months.

Updated

What was said

Photo of Tom Lee
Tom Lee

Head of Research, Fundstrat Global Advisors; Chairman, Bitmine Immersion Technologies

Decrypt, Sep 8, 2025SourceArchive

8 predictions · 2 hit · 4 missed · 2 open

Photo: Xuthoria, CC BY-SA 4.0

I think Bitcoin can easily get to $200,000 before the end of the year, and I know that's a big move.

Lee said Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum are highly sensitive to monetary policy. He described the Federal Reserve meeting on September 17, where an interest rate cut was expected, as an important catalyst that would push the asset higher.

How we checked this

MissedDeadline

Price when said
$111,130 closeprice data
Target
$200,000+80%
Best close
$124,720price data

The prediction comes true if any daily close from Sep 8, 2025 to Dec 31, 2025, inclusive, is at or above $200,000. Prices are daily closes in UTC, not intraday highs.

How we check predictions

More from Tom Lee

Other Bitcoin predictions