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Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin at or above $500,000 on Dec 31, 2026

As of September 28, 2026, Arthur Hayes' prediction that Bitcoin would be at or above $500,000 on December 31, 2026 is open. Arthur Hayes made the call on Coinpedia on April 22, 2026, when Bitcoin was at $76,349. The target calls for a 555% rise in eight months.

Updated

What was said

Photo of Arthur Hayes
Arthur Hayes

Chief Investment Officer and Co-Founder, Maelstrom

Coinpedia, Apr 22, 2026SourceArchive

8 predictions · 2 hit · 3 missed · 3 open

Photo: When Shift Happens, CC BY 3.0

Adding to the bullish sentiment, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has set an end-of-year Bitcoin price target of $500,000 and a $200 target for HYPE, in an exclusive interview with Coinpedia, while reaffirming that the majority of his personal wealth remains stored in Bitcoin.

Hayes said Bitcoin remains his highest-conviction holding among the current top ten crypto assets, and the article reports that most of his personal wealth is held in Bitcoin. The article says he named a single wildcard that could accelerate or derail his 2026 targets but does not report what it was.

How we checked this

OpenDeadline

Price when said
$76,349 closeprice data
Target
$500,000+555%

The close of the last trading day on or before Dec 31, 2026 decides: the prediction comes true if that close is at or above $500,000. Prices are daily closes in UTC, not intraday highs.

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