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Arthur Hayes: Ethereum at or above $10,000 on Dec 31, 2025

Arthur Hayes' prediction that Ethereum would be at or above $10,000 on December 31, 2025 did not come true. The close on the deadline decided this call: Ethereum closed at $2,967 on December 31, 2025, the deadline, 70% below the target. Arthur Hayes made the call on The Daily Hodl on July 24, 2025, when Ethereum was at $3,630. The target needed a 175% rise in five months.

Updated

What was said

Photo of Arthur Hayes
Arthur Hayes

Chief Investment Officer and Co-Founder, Maelstrom

The Daily Hodl, Jul 24, 2025SourceArchive

7 predictions · 1 hit · 3 missed · 3 open

Photo: When Shift Happens, CC BY 3.0

My year-end targets: Bitcoin = $250,000. Ether = $10,000.

Hayes said Ether was set for a strong rally, in part because of growing adoption by traditional finance and Western institutional investors. He said his family office, Maelstrom, was fully invested and heavily positioned in Ether and DeFi.

How we checked this

MissedDeadline

Price when said
$3,630 closeprice data
Target
$10,000+175%
Close on the deadline
$2,967price data

The close of the last trading day on or before Dec 31, 2025 decides: the prediction comes true if that close is at or above $10,000. Prices are daily closes in UTC, not intraday highs.

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