PredictionVerifier

Famous price predictions and what actually happened

A public record of price predictions by investors, strategists and commentators, with sources and outcomes.

Every card records the exact quote, the price on the day it was said and the deadline, and the outcome is decided by daily closing prices. Each card links to the original source and an archived copy.

Browse predictions How we check

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Said3 mo6 mo1 yr2 yr5 yrEd YardeniGoldHit$3,886$5,000 (+29%)Said Oct 6, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2026 Robert KiyosakiSilverHit$48.30$100 (+107%)Said Nov 9, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2026 Jeremy LefebvreAMDMissed$484.64$600 (+24%)Said Aug 4, 2026Deadline Aug 7, 2026 Dan IvesPalantirMissed$143.13$160 (+12%)Said Jul 10, 2025Deadline Jul 10, 2026 Geoff KendrickBitcoinMissed$108,677$200,000 (+84%)Said Oct 20, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Arthur HayesBitcoinMissed$82,534$250,000 (+203%)Said Apr 1, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025 PlanBBitcoinHit$19,935$100,000 (+402%)Said Jan 14, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2025 PlanBBitcoinMissed$63,514$300,000 (+372%)Said Apr 19, 2024Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Ed YardeniS&P 500Hit5,8446,500 (+11%)Said May 13, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Geoff KendrickSolanaMissed$174.97$275 (+57%)Said May 27, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Tim DraperBitcoinMissed$102,800$250,000 (+143%)Said May 13, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Tom LeeBitcoinMissed$94,265$150,000 (+59%)Said Mar 3, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Robert KiyosakiBitcoinMissed$21,790$500,000 (+2,195%)Said Feb 13, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Geoff KendrickEthereumHit$1,472$4,000 (+172%)Said Apr 9, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025 PlanBBitcoinMissed$97,677$270,000 (+176%)Said Feb 3, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Geoff KendrickBNBHit$602.70$1,275 (+112%)Said May 7, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Robert KiyosakiBitcoinMissed$106,137$350,000 (+230%)Said Dec 18, 2024Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Geoff KendrickEthereumMissed$4,590$7,500 (+63%)Said Aug 13, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Robert KiyosakiGoldMissed$1,865$5,000 (+168%)Said Feb 13, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Arthur HayesEthereumMissed$3,630$10,000 (+175%)Said Jul 24, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Robert KiyosakiSilverMissed$21.99$500 (+2,174%)Said Feb 13, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Michael SaylorBitcoinMissed$106,558$150,000 (+41%)Said Nov 4, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Tom LeeBitcoinMissed$111,130$200,000 (+80%)Said Sep 8, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Ed YardeniS&P 500Missed6,7297,000 (+4%)Said Nov 10, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Dan IvesTeslaHit$321.22$400 (+25%)Said Nov 11, 2024Deadline Nov 11, 2025 Robert KiyosakiSilverMissed$29.20$79 (+171%)Said Jul 22, 2024Deadline Aug 31, 2025 Robert KiyosakiGoldHit$2,401$3,300 (+37%)Said Jul 22, 2024Deadline Aug 31, 2025 Robert KiyosakiBitcoinHit$68,181$105,000 (+54%)Said Jul 22, 2024Deadline Aug 31, 2025 Dan IvesTeslaHit$209.86$300 (+43%)Said Jul 2, 2024Deadline Jul 2, 2025 Robert KiyosakiSilverMissed$16.62$40 (+141%)Said May 16, 2020Deadline May 16, 2025 Cathie WoodTeslaHit$59.14$466.67 (+689%)split-adjustedSaid Feb 5, 2020Deadline Feb 5, 2025 Dan IvesTeslaHit$207.83$315 (+52%)Said Jan 25, 2024Deadline Jan 25, 2025 Geoff KendrickBitcoinMissed$30,168$100,000 (+231%)Said Jul 10, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2024 Jim CramerPalantirMissed$74.21$100 (+35%)Said Dec 20, 2024Deadline Dec 31, 2024 Robert KiyosakiBitcoinMissed$63,801$300,000 (+370%)Said Mar 6, 2024Deadline Dec 31, 2024 Geoff KendrickEthereumHit$1,568$4,000 (+155%)Said Oct 11, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2024 PlanBBitcoinHit$44,221$100,000 (+126%)Said Jan 2, 2024Deadline Dec 31, 2024 Arthur HayesBitcoinHit$28,070$70,000 (+149%)Said May 29, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2024 Ed YardeniS&P 500Hit5,5775,800 (+4%)Said Jul 10, 2024Deadline Dec 31, 2024 Robert KiyosakiBitcoinMissed$30,420$120,000 (+294%)Said Jul 11, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2024 Robert KiyosakiBitcoinMissed$70,542$350,000 (+396%)Said Jun 5, 2024Deadline Aug 25, 2024 Robert KiyosakiBitcoinMissed$51,666$100,000 (+94%)Said Feb 18, 2024Deadline Jun 30, 2024 Robert KiyosakiSilverMissed$23.52$75 (+219%)Said Dec 29, 2022Deadline Dec 31, 2023 Ed YardeniS&P 500Hit3,9714,600 (+16%)Said Mar 29, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2023 PlanBBitcoinMissed$40,537$100,000 (+147%)Said Feb 18, 2022Deadline Dec 31, 2023 Mike WilsonS&P 500Missed4,3283,900 (−9.9%)Said Oct 16, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2023 Robert KiyosakiGoldMissed$1,804$3,800 (+111%)Said Dec 29, 2022Deadline Dec 31, 2023 Tim DraperBitcoinMissed$17,109$250,000 (+1,361%)Said Dec 5, 2022Deadline Jun 30, 2023 Robert KiyosakiBitcoinMissed$9,312$75,000 (+705%)Said May 16, 2020Deadline May 16, 2023 Arthur HayesEthereumMissed$1,608$5,000 (+211%)Said Aug 5, 2022Deadline Mar 31, 2023 Tim DraperBitcoinMissed$7,916$250,000 (+3,058%)Said Apr 13, 2018Deadline Dec 31, 2022 Tom LeeBitcoinMissed$3,855$25,000 (+548%)Said Sep 14, 2017Deadline Sep 14, 2022 Ed YardeniS&P 500Hit3,3343,800 (+14%)Said Aug 12, 2020Deadline Dec 31, 2021 PlanBBitcoinMissed$63,309$100,000 (+58%)Said Nov 8, 2021Deadline Dec 31, 2021 Mike NovogratzBitcoinMissed$47,408$60,000 (+27%)Said Feb 13, 2021Deadline Dec 31, 2021 Robert KiyosakiGoldMissed$1,741$3,000 (+72%)Said May 16, 2020Deadline May 16, 2021 Ed YardeniS&P 500Hit3,3343,500 (+5%)Said Aug 12, 2020Deadline Dec 31, 2020 Arthur HayesBitcoinHit$7,370$20,000 (+171%)Said Apr 9, 2020Deadline Dec 31, 2020 Mike NovogratzBitcoinHit$6,666$20,000 (+200%)Said Apr 2, 2020Deadline Dec 31, 2020 Mike NovogratzBitcoinHit$7,246$12,000 (+66%)Said Dec 28, 2019Deadline Dec 31, 2020 Mike NovogratzBitcoinMissed$6,666$13,332 (+100%)Said Apr 2, 2020Deadline Sep 30, 2020 Tom LeeS&P 500Hit2,9183,125 (+7.1%)Said May 3, 2019Deadline Dec 31, 2019 Tom LeeS&P 500Hit2,5972,835 (+9.2%)Said Jan 11, 2019Deadline Dec 31, 2019 Mike WilsonS&P 500Hit2,6332,750 (+4.5%)Said Nov 26, 2018Deadline Dec 31, 2019 Tom LeeBitcoinMissed$10,567$25,000 (+137%)Said Feb 28, 2018Deadline Dec 31, 2018 Mike NovogratzEthereumHit$368.24$500 (+36%)Said Nov 21, 2017Deadline Dec 31, 2017 Mike NovogratzBitcoinHit$8,256$10,000 (+21%)Said Nov 21, 2017Deadline Dec 31, 2017 Peter SchiffGoldMissed$1,702$5,000 (+194%)Said Oct 25, 2012Deadline Oct 25, 2014

Time given to reach it

Both scales are logarithmic, so every asset fits one chart.

Recently resolved

All predictions

Jeremy Lefebvre: AMD to $600 by Aug 7, 2026
Jeremy Lefebvre+24% from $484.64
Aug 4, 2026Missed
Dan Ives: Palantir at or above $160 on Jul 10, 2026
Dan Ives+12% from $143.13
Jul 10, 2025Missed
Ed Yardeni: Gold to $5,000 by Dec 31, 2026
Ed Yardeni+29% from $3,886
Oct 6, 2025Hit
Robert Kiyosaki: Silver to $100 by Dec 31, 2026
Robert Kiyosaki+107% from $48.30
Nov 9, 2025Hit
Geoff Kendrick: Solana at or above $275 on Dec 31, 2025
Geoff Kendrick+57% from $174.97
May 27, 2025Missed
Michael Saylor: Bitcoin at or above $150,000 on Dec 31, 2025
Michael Saylor+41% from $106,558
Nov 4, 2025Missed

Deadlines coming up

All open predictions

Geoff Kendrick: BNB to $1,755 by Dec 31, 2026
Geoff Kendrick+191% from $602.70
May 7, 2025
PlanB: Bitcoin to $300,000 by Dec 31, 2026
PlanB+163% from $114,216
Aug 4, 2025
Robert Kiyosaki: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Dec 31, 2026
Robert Kiyosaki+144% from $102,286
Nov 9, 2025
Tom Lee: Bitcoin to $300,000 by Dec 31, 2026
Tom Lee+221% from $93,454
Dec 4, 2025
Tim Draper: Bitcoin to $250,000 by Dec 31, 2026
Tim Draper+167% from $93,722
Jan 7, 2026
Robert Kiyosaki: Silver to $200 by Dec 31, 2026
Robert Kiyosaki+115% from $93.11
Jan 22, 2026

People

Everyone we track

Robert Kiyosaki
Author, Rich Dad Poor Dad
23 predictions · 3 hit · 14 missed · 6 open
Geoff Kendrick
Global Head of Digital Assets Research, Standard Chartered
20 predictions · 3 hit · 4 missed · 13 open
Ed Yardeni
President and Chief Investment Strategist, Yardeni Research
9 predictions · 6 hit · 1 missed · 2 open
Arthur Hayes
Chief Investment Officer and Co-Founder, Maelstrom
8 predictions · 2 hit · 3 missed · 3 open
Tom Lee
Head of Research, Fundstrat Global Advisors
8 predictions · 2 hit · 4 missed · 2 open
PlanB
Pseudonymous bitcoin analyst
7 predictions · 2 hit · 4 missed · 1 open
Mike Novogratz
Founder and CEO, Galaxy Digital
6 predictions · 4 hit · 2 missed
Tim Draper
Founder and Managing Partner, Draper Associates
6 predictions · 3 missed · 3 open

Assets

Bitcoin — Bitcoin price predictions
BTCCrypto
48 predictions · 8 hit · 24 missed · 16 open
S&P 500 — S&P 500 price predictions
SPXIndex
13 predictions · 8 hit · 2 missed · 3 open
Ethereum — Ethereum price predictions
ETHCrypto
8 predictions · 3 hit · 3 missed · 2 open
Gold — Gold price predictions
XAUMetal
8 predictions · 2 hit · 4 missed · 2 open
Silver — Silver price predictions
XAGMetal
6 predictions · 1 hit · 4 missed · 1 open
Tesla — Tesla price predictions
TSLAStock
6 predictions · 4 hit · 2 open
Uniswap — Uniswap price predictions
UNICrypto
5 predictions · 5 open
BNB — BNB price predictions
BNBCrypto
3 predictions · 1 hit · 2 open
Solana — Solana price predictions
SOLCrypto
3 predictions · 1 missed · 2 open
Palantir — Palantir price predictions
PLTRStock
2 predictions · 2 missed
AMD — AMD price predictions
AMDStock
1 prediction · 1 missed
Avalanche — Avalanche price predictions
AVAXCrypto
1 prediction · 1 open
Salesforce — Salesforce price predictions
CRMStock
1 prediction · 1 open
The Honest Company — The Honest Company price predictions
HNSTStock
1 prediction · 1 open