PlanB: Bitcoin to $300,000 by Dec 31, 2026
+163% from $114,216
Pseudonymous bitcoin analyst; author of the bitcoin stock-to-flow model
Pseudonymous bitcoin analyst; author of the bitcoin stock-to-flow model
PlanB is the pseudonym of an analyst described in the press as a Dutch institutional investor, who publishes bitcoin analysis on X as @100trillionUSD. In March 2019 he published the article "Modeling Bitcoin Value with Scarcity" on Medium, which set out a stock-to-flow model of bitcoin's value, and in April 2020 an extension, the "Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Cross Asset Model".
Gives price targets for bitcoin, most of them derived from his stock-to-flow models and tied to the four-year halving cycle, which crypto news outlets then report. The deadlines are a month-end, the end of a calendar year or a multi-year period, and the targets are for prices to rise.
As of September 30, 2026, we track 7 price predictions PlanB made between 2021 and 2025. Two came true, four did not and one is open. All were about Bitcoin. All had deadlines at the end of a calendar year.
The open, came-true and missed call with the largest move from the price when said. A selection, not a rating.
Boldest open call
+163% from $114,216
Boldest call that came true
+402% from $19,935
Boldest call that didn't come true
+372% from $63,514
| Asset | Said | Price then → Target | Deadline | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | Price when said: $97,677 Target: $270,000 (+176%) | Missed | ||
| Bitcoin | Price when said: $63,514 Target: $300,000 (+372%) | Missed | ||
| Bitcoin | Price when said: $19,935 Target: $100,000 (+402%) | Hit | ||
| Bitcoin | Price when said: $44,221 Target: $100,000 (+126%) | Hit | ||
| Bitcoin | Price when said: $40,537 Target: $100,000 (+147%) | Missed | ||
| Bitcoin | Price when said: $63,309 Target: $100,000 (+58%) | Missed | ||