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PlanB: Bitcoin to $270,000 by Dec 31, 2025

PlanB's prediction that Bitcoin would reach $270,000 by December 31, 2025 did not come true. Bitcoin's best close before the deadline was $124,720 on October 6, 2025, 54% below the target. PlanB made the call on The Daily Hodl on February 3, 2025, when Bitcoin was at $97,677. The target needed a 176% rise in eleven months.

Updated

What was said

PlanB

Pseudonymous bitcoin analyst; author of the bitcoin stock-to-flow model

The Daily Hodl, Feb 3, 2025SourceArchive

7 predictions · 2 hit · 4 missed · 1 open

So that’s the absolute minimum Bitcoin price that I expect in 2025: $270,000.

PlanB pointed to Bitcoin's monthly relative strength index approaching 80 and said past bull-market peaks saw several months with the RSI above 80. He said the average monthly return in those periods was over 40%, and that he expects at least three such months, which by his arithmetic would take the price from $100,000 to $270,000.

How we checked this

MissedDeadline

Price when said
$97,677 closeprice data
Target
$270,000+176%
Best close
$124,720price data

The prediction comes true if any daily close from Feb 3, 2025 to Dec 31, 2025, inclusive, is at or above $270,000. Prices are daily closes in UTC, not intraday highs.

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