PlanB: Bitcoin to $300,000 by Dec 31, 2026

What was said

Now, 60% of people think that Bitcoin will not reach $300,000 by the end of 2026 – that’s this line, one and a half years from now. So, by the end of next year, this is the $300,000 point. Sixty percent of people think we’re not going to get there. In my opinion, we will.

PlanB said his view is contrarian, noting that 60% of people do not expect bitcoin to reach $300,000 by the end of 2026. He pointed to his stock-to-flow model, which he described as a rough scarcity-based model with an average target above that level. He also cited bitcoin's price sitting above all the major realized-price cohorts, which he called classic bull market behavior with no bear market warning signs.

How we checked this

The prediction comes true if any daily close from Aug 4, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, is at or above $300,000. Prices are daily closes in UTC, not intraday highs.

How we check predictions