Home / Assets / S&P 500 S&P 500 price predictions: who said what, and what came true The S&P 500 is a stock market index of 500 large US companies, maintained by S&P Dow Jones Indices. Levels are in index points, using the official close on each NYSE trading day.
Predictions 13
Hit 8
Missed 2
Open 3 As of September 29, 2026, we track 13 S&P 500 price predictions from three public figures. Eight came true, two did not and three are open. Open targets for 2026 range from 8,000 to 8,250.
Updated Sep 29, 2026
Targets over time 3,000
5,000
7,000
10,000
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 Mike Wilson Hit Price when said: 2,633 → Target: 2,750 (+4.5%) Said Nov 26, 2018 · Deadline Dec 31, 2019 Deadline close 3,231 on Dec 31, 2019 Tom Lee Hit Price when said: 2,597 → Target: 2,835 (+9.2%) Said Jan 11, 2019 · Deadline Dec 31, 2019 First close at target 2,855 on Mar 21, 2019 Tom Lee Hit Price when said: 2,918 → Target: 3,125 (+7.1%) Said May 3, 2019 · Deadline Dec 31, 2019 Deadline close 3,231 on Dec 31, 2019 Ed Yardeni Hit Price when said: 3,334 → Target: 3,800 (+14%) Said Aug 12, 2020 · Deadline Dec 31, 2021 Deadline close 4,766 on Dec 31, 2021 Ed Yardeni Hit Price when said: 3,334 → Target: 3,500 (+5%) Said Aug 12, 2020 · Deadline Dec 31, 2020 First close at target 3,508 on Aug 28, 2020 Ed Yardeni Hit Price when said: 3,971 → Target: 4,600 (+16%) Said Mar 29, 2023 · Deadline Dec 31, 2023 Deadline close 4,770 on Dec 29, 2023 Mike Wilson Missed Price when said: 4,328 → Target: 3,900 (−9.9%) Said Oct 16, 2023 · Deadline Dec 31, 2023 Lowest close 4,117 on Oct 27, 2023 Ed Yardeni Hit Price when said: 5,577 → Target: 5,800 (+4%) Said Jul 10, 2024 · Deadline Dec 31, 2024 Deadline close 5,882 on Dec 31, 2024 Ed Yardeni Hit Price when said: 5,844 → Target: 6,500 (+11%) Said May 13, 2025 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Deadline close 6,846 on Dec 31, 2025 Ed Yardeni Missed Price when said: 6,729 → Target: 7,000 (+4%) Said Nov 10, 2025 · Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Best close 6,932 on Dec 24, 2025 Ed Yardeni Open Price when said: 7,399 → Target: 10,000 (+35%) Said May 10, 2026 · Deadline Dec 31, 2029 Ed Yardeni Open Price when said: 7,580 → Target: 8,250 (+8.8%) Said Jun 1, 2026 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 Tom Lee Open Price when said: 7,365 → Target: 8,000 (+8.6%) Said Jun 24, 2026 · Deadline Dec 31, 2026 Each line runs from the S&P 500 price on the day a prediction was made to its target at the deadline, on a log scale. Every prediction is listed in the tables below. Open predictions 3 Open S&P 500 price predictions, by deadline year Person Said Price then → Target Deadline Ed Yardeni Said Jun 1, 2026 Price when said: 7,580 → Target: 8,250 (+8.8%) Deadline Dec 31, 2026 Tom Lee Said Jun 24, 2026 Price when said: 7,365 → Target: 8,000 (+8.6%) Deadline Dec 31, 2026 Ed Yardeni Said May 10, 2026 Price when said: 7,399 → Target: 10,000 (+35%) Deadline Dec 31, 2029
Resolved predictions 10 Resolved S&P 500 price predictions, by deadline year Person Said Price then → Target Deadline Outcome Ed Yardeni Said Nov 10, 2025 Price when said: 6,729 → Target: 7,000 (+4%) Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Missed Ed Yardeni Said May 13, 2025 Price when said: 5,844 → Target: 6,500 (+11%) Deadline Dec 31, 2025 Hit Ed Yardeni Said Jul 10, 2024 Price when said: 5,577 → Target: 5,800 (+4%) Deadline Dec 31, 2024 Hit MW Mike Wilson Said Oct 16, 2023 Price when said: 4,328 → Target: 3,900 (−9.9%) Deadline Dec 31, 2023 Missed Ed Yardeni Said Mar 29, 2023 Price when said: 3,971 → Target: 4,600 (+16%) Deadline Dec 31, 2023 Hit Ed Yardeni Said Aug 12, 2020 Price when said: 3,334 → Target: 3,800 (+14%) Deadline Dec 31, 2021 Hit Ed Yardeni Said Aug 12, 2020 Price when said: 3,334 → Target: 3,500 (+5%) Deadline Dec 31, 2020 Hit Tom Lee Said May 3, 2019 Price when said: 2,918 → Target: 3,125 (+7.1%) Deadline Dec 31, 2019 Hit Tom Lee Said Jan 11, 2019 Price when said: 2,597 → Target: 2,835 (+9.2%) Deadline Dec 31, 2019 Hit MW Mike Wilson Said Nov 26, 2018 Price when said: 2,633 → Target: 2,750 (+4.5%) Deadline Dec 31, 2019 Hit
Ed Yardeni
Tom Lee