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Ed Yardeni: S&P 500 to 10,000 by Dec 31, 2029

As of September 29, 2026, Ed Yardeni's prediction that S&P 500 would reach 10,000 by December 31, 2029 is open. Ed Yardeni made the call in Fortune on May 10, 2026, when S&P 500 was at 7,399. The target calls for a 35% rise in three years and eight months.

Updated

What was said

Photo of Ed Yardeni
Ed Yardeni

President and Chief Investment Strategist, Yardeni Research

Fortune, May 10, 2026SourceArchive

9 predictions · 6 hit · 1 missed · 2 open

Photo: Soar Financially, CC BY 3.0

Nevertheless, for now, we are sticking with our 10,000 target for the S&P 500 by the end of 2029

Yardeni pointed to consensus earnings expectations rising faster than ever for the current and coming years, which he described as driving an earnings-led meltup. He raised his S&P 500 EPS forecasts to $330 for 2026 and $375 for 2027, and said his key assumption is that the economy and earnings will remain resilient, in line with his 'Roaring 2020s' view. He acknowledged the risk that renewed fighting could produce stagflation, rate hikes and higher yields.

How we checked this

OpenDeadline

Price when said
7,399 closeprice data
Target
10,000+35%

The prediction comes true if any daily close from May 10, 2026 to Dec 31, 2029, inclusive, is at or above 10,000. Prices are daily closes, not intraday highs.

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