Bitcoin price predictions: who said what, and what came true
Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency that runs on a peer-to-peer network without a central issuer; it has been in use since 2009. Prices here are daily closes in US dollars on the UTC day.
- Predictions
- 47
- Hit
- 7
- Missed
- 24
- Open
- 16
As of September 30, 2026, we track 47 Bitcoin price predictions from nine public figures. Seven came true, 24 did not and 16 are open. Open targets for 2026 range from $250,000 to $500,000.
Updated
Targets over time
Open predictions 16
| Person | Said | Price then → Target | Deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| PlanB | Price when said: $114,216 Target: $300,000 (+163%) | ||
 Robert Kiyosaki | Price when said: $102,286 Target: $250,000 (+144%) | ||
 Tom Lee | Price when said: $93,454 Target: $300,000 (+221%) | ||
 Tim Draper | Price when said: $93,722 Target: $250,000 (+167%) | ||
 Arthur Hayes | Price when said: $76,349 Target: $500,000 (+555%) | ||
| Tim Draper | Price when said: $62,520 Target: $250,000 (+300%) | ||
| Tim DraperRevised later: Jul 4, 2027 | Price when said: $74,446 Target: $250,000 (+236%) | ||
| Arthur Hayes | Price when said: $97,058 Target: $1,000,000 (+930%) | ||
 Geoff Kendrick | Price when said: $108,677 Target: $500,000 (+360%) | ||
| Robert Kiyosaki | Price when said: $63,211 Target: $1,000,000 (+1,482%) | ||
 Brian ArmstrongRevised later: $400,000 | Price when said: $112,856 Target: $1,000,000 (+786%) | ||
| Geoff Kendrick | Price when said: $90,654 Target: $500,000 (+452%) | ||
| Brian Armstrong | Price when said: $78,284 Target: $400,000 (+411%) | ||
| Robert Kiyosaki | Price when said: $84,962 Target: $1,000,000 (+1,077%) | ||
 Michael SaylorRevised later: $21,000,000 by Jun 21, 2046 | Price when said: $101,570 Target: $13,000,000 (+12,699%) | ||
| Michael Saylor | Price when said: $103,318 Target: $21,000,000 (+20,226%) | ||
Resolved predictions 31
| Person | Said | Price then → Target | Deadline | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Saylor | Price when said: $106,558 Target: $150,000 (+41%) | Missed | ||
| Geoff Kendrick | Price when said: $108,677 Target: $200,000 (+84%) | Missed | ||
| Tim DraperNewer call: Oct 14, 2027 | Price when said: $102,800 Target: $250,000 (+143%) | Missed | ||
| Arthur Hayes | Price when said: $82,534 Target: $250,000 (+203%) | Missed | ||
| PlanB | Price when said: $63,514 Target: $300,000 (+372%) | Missed | ||
| Robert Kiyosaki | Price when said: $63,801 Target: $300,000 (+370%) | Missed | ||
| PlanB | Price when said: $44,221 Target: $100,000 (+126%) | Hit | ||
| Robert Kiyosaki | Price when said: $30,420 Target: $120,000 (+294%) | Missed | ||
| Geoff Kendrick | Price when said: $30,168 Target: $100,000 (+231%) | Missed | ||
| Robert Kiyosaki | Price when said: $70,542 Target: $350,000 (+396%) | Missed | ||
| PlanB | Price when said: $40,537 Target: $100,000 (+147%) | Missed | ||
| Tim DraperNewer call: Dec 31, 2025 | Price when said: $17,109 Target: $250,000 (+1,361%) | Missed | ||
| Robert Kiyosaki | Price when said: $9,312 Target: $75,000 (+705%) | Missed | ||
| Tim Draper | Price when said: $7,916 Target: $250,000 (+3,058%) | Missed | ||
| Tom Lee | Price when said: $3,855 Target: $25,000 (+548%) | Missed | ||
| PlanB | Price when said: $63,309 Target: $100,000 (+58%) | Missed | ||
 Mike Novogratz | Price when said: $47,408 Target: $60,000 (+27%) | Missed | ||
| Mike Novogratz | Price when said: $6,666 Target: $20,000 (+200%) | Hit | ||
| Mike Novogratz | Price when said: $7,246 Target: $12,000 (+66%) | Hit | ||
| Mike Novogratz | Price when said: $6,666 Target: $13,332 (+100%) | Missed | ||
| Tom Lee | Price when said: $10,567 Target: $25,000 (+137%) | Missed | ||
| Mike Novogratz | Price when said: $8,256 Target: $10,000 (+21%) | Hit | ||