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PlanB: Bitcoin to $100,000 by Dec 31, 2021

PlanB's prediction that Bitcoin would reach $100,000 by December 31, 2021 did not come true. Bitcoin's best close before the deadline was $67,555 on November 8, 2021, 32% below the target. PlanB made the call on X on November 8, 2021, when Bitcoin was at $63,309. The target needed a 58% rise in two months.

Updated

What was said

PlanB

Pseudonymous bitcoin analyst; author of the bitcoin stock-to-flow model

X, Nov 8, 2021SourceArchive

7 predictions · 2 hit · 4 missed · 1 open

As you know S2F model predicts $100K average for this halving period (and based on floor model we reach $100K this yr).

PlanB based the $100K figure for this year on his floor model. In the same post he set it beside the S2F model's $100K average for the halving period and the S2FX model's $288K average for the cycle, and said he would see where the second leg of the bull market goes.

How we checked this

MissedDeadline

Price when said
$63,309 closeprice data
Target
$100,000+58%
Best close
$67,555price data

The prediction comes true if any daily close from Nov 8, 2021 to Dec 31, 2021, inclusive, is at or above $100,000. Prices are daily closes in UTC, not intraday highs.

How we check predictions

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