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Joseph Carlson's $350 fair value for Amazon

On November 2, 2026, Joseph Carlson estimated the fair value of Amazon at $350 per share on YouTube. Amazon closed at $240.35 on October 30, 2026, the trading day before, so the estimate was 46% above the price when said. Joseph Carlson gave no date by which the price should reach it, so this is a fair value estimate, not a prediction: we record it as said and do not mark it as Hit or Missed.

Updated

What was said

Joseph Carlson

Host of the YouTube channels Joseph Carlson and Joseph Carlson After Hours

YouTube, Nov 2, 2026, at 07:41Source

14 fair value estimates

But for now, my price target or fair value assessment of Amazon is at 350.

Carlson said Amazon has a wide moat and that its growth in the latest quarter was impressive, and he called the bear case weak. He put the upside from the current price at around 40%.

The estimate

No deadline · not checked

Price when said
$240.35 closeprice data
Fair value
$350+46%

A fair value estimate is the speaker's view of what an asset is worth, given without a date by which the price should get there. With no deadline there is nothing to check, so we record the estimate as said, next to the close of the day before, and never mark it as Hit or Missed.

Why fair value estimates are not checked

Fair value estimates: Joseph Carlson 13

Fair value estimates by Joseph Carlson
AssetSaidPrice when said → Fair value
AlphabetPrice when said: $279.84 Fair value: $350 (+25%)
ASMLPrice when said: $1,566 Fair value: $1,800 (+15%)
CostcoPrice when said: $1,012 Fair value: $800 (−21%)
DoorDashPrice when said: $178.99 Fair value: $250 (+40%)
DuolingoPrice when said: $131.59 Fair value: $200 (+52%)
MastercardPrice when said: $638.01 Fair value: $700 (+9.7%)
Meta PlatformsPrice when said: $614.99 Fair value: $850 (+38%)
MicrosoftPrice when said: $521.91 Fair value: $550 (+5.4%)
Moody'sPrice when said: $493.91 Fair value: $500 (+1.2%)
NetflixPrice when said: $62.08 Fair value: $100 (+61%)
S&P GlobalPrice when said: $466.55 Fair value: $550 (+18%)
Texas RoadhousePrice when said: $182.52 Fair value: $200 (+9.6%)
UberPrice when said: $65.25 Fair value: $90 (+38%)