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Joseph Carlson's $250 fair value for DoorDash

On November 2, 2026, Joseph Carlson estimated the fair value of DoorDash at $250 per share on YouTube. DoorDash closed at $178.99 on October 30, 2026, the trading day before, so the estimate was 40% above the price when said. Joseph Carlson gave no date by which the price should reach it, so this is a fair value estimate, not a prediction: we record it as said and do not mark it as Hit or Missed.

Updated

What was said

Joseph Carlson

Host of the YouTube channels Joseph Carlson and Joseph Carlson After Hours

YouTube, Nov 2, 2026, at 23:05Source

14 fair value estimates

For example, my fair value of DoorDash is 250.

Carlson said DoorDash is in land-grab mode, optimizing for growth rather than near-term earnings, which makes its current P/E look high. He pointed to its agreement to buy Instacart as a way to grow from restaurant delivery into retail.

The estimate

No deadline · not checked

Price when said
$178.99 closeprice data
Fair value
$250+40%

A fair value estimate is the speaker's view of what an asset is worth, given without a date by which the price should get there. With no deadline there is nothing to check, so we record the estimate as said, next to the close of the day before, and never mark it as Hit or Missed.

Why fair value estimates are not checked

Fair value estimates: Joseph Carlson 13

Fair value estimates by Joseph Carlson
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AlphabetPrice when said: $279.84 Fair value: $350 (+25%)
AmazonPrice when said: $240.35 Fair value: $350 (+46%)
ASMLPrice when said: $1,566 Fair value: $1,800 (+15%)
CostcoPrice when said: $1,012 Fair value: $800 (−21%)
DuolingoPrice when said: $131.59 Fair value: $200 (+52%)
MastercardPrice when said: $638.01 Fair value: $700 (+9.7%)
Meta PlatformsPrice when said: $614.99 Fair value: $850 (+38%)
MicrosoftPrice when said: $521.91 Fair value: $550 (+5.4%)
Moody'sPrice when said: $493.91 Fair value: $500 (+1.2%)
NetflixPrice when said: $62.08 Fair value: $100 (+61%)
S&P GlobalPrice when said: $466.55 Fair value: $550 (+18%)
Texas RoadhousePrice when said: $182.52 Fair value: $200 (+9.6%)
UberPrice when said: $65.25 Fair value: $90 (+38%)