No deadline · not checked
- Price when said
- $638.01 closeprice data
- Fair value
- $700+9.7%
Joseph Carlson's $700 fair value for Mastercard
On November 2, 2026, Joseph Carlson estimated the fair value of Mastercard at $700 per share on YouTube. Mastercard closed at $638.01 on October 30, 2026, the trading day before, so the estimate was 9.7% above the price when said. Joseph Carlson gave no date by which the price should reach it, so this is a fair value estimate, not a prediction: we record it as said and do not mark it as Hit or Missed.
Updated
What was said
Joseph Carlson
Host of the YouTube channels Joseph Carlson and Joseph Carlson After Hours
YouTube, Nov 2, 2026, at 04:38Source
14 fair value estimates
But, this isn't a whole review of MasterCard. This is the valuation and what I believe is a fair value today. Right now, the stock trades at $6.59 and I believe the fair value is around $700 per share.
Carlson said Mastercard's forward P/E of around 30 is justified by its economics, citing a 47% profit margin, and that the stock is back near its historical median P/E. He said it trades close to his fair value and called it a hold. In the automatic captions the price reads "$6.59"; he says $659.
The estimate
A fair value estimate is the speaker's view of what an asset is worth, given without a date by which the price should get there. With no deadline there is nothing to check, so we record the estimate as said, next to the close of the day before, and never mark it as Hit or Missed.
Fair value estimates: Joseph Carlson 13
| Asset | Said | Price when said → Fair value |
|---|---|---|
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